Usio Inc. (USIO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.92 -10.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.86

Usio Inc. (USIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $92.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is USIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Usio Inc. (NASDAQ: USIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $2.92 (-10.15% 1D, market cap $92.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, USIO ranks #682 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does USIO compare to GSIW and WTF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), USIO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -16.1%. By comparison, GSIW (Garden Stage Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $97.7M) and WTF (Waton Financial Limited) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $98.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USIO leads on capital efficiency (-16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USIO?
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Per USIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001088034), Usio Inc. generated $85.4M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and $1.1M in free cash flow against $134.9M in total assets and $1.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.86 (-2.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (15)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target
$3 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE USIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USIO SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.3% FCF Margin ($1.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$2.74+4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$2.86+8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$3.10-5.8% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$2.92-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While USIO currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.74) and Max Pain ($3.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (USIO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for USIO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of USIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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USIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +128.13%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $3.17H $3.25L $2.92C $2.92VOL 118.9K
RES: $3.33SUP: $2.46SMA50: $2.74SMA200: $1.89
$3.44$2.82$2.20$1.59$0.97RES $3.33SUP $2.46$2.922026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USIO)

Financials Rank #682 of 1096 ⚔️ GSIW vs USIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (USIO vs. GSIW, WTF, EVF, AIB)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Usio Inc. (USIO) ranks #682 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #966 by equity capitalization ($92.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. USIO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
USIO ACTIVE
Usio Inc.
D 50/100 — — -16.1% -10.15% $92.6M Benchmark Subject
GSIW
Garden Stage Limited (Class A)
E 27/100 — — — 0.00% $97.7M /gsiw-vs-usio →
WTF
Waton Financial Limited
E 28/100 — — — +1.47% $98.4M /wtf-vs-usio →
EVF
Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust
D 47/100 — — — -0.21% $85.1M /evf-vs-usio →
AIB
AIB Data Centers Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -6.67% $79.8M /aib-vs-usio →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001088034

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Usio Inc. (USIO) reported GAAP revenue of $85.4M (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $82.9M , and +1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.5M, operating cash flow of $1.5M, and free cash flow of $1.1M (-60.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, USIO closed FY2025 with $134.9M in total assets against $1.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $85.4M -$2.5M $1.5M $1.1M $134.9M $1.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $82.9M $3.3M $2.9M $2.7M $107.2M $571.9K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $84.1M -$475.1K $3.5M $3.5M — —

3. USIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Usio Inc. (NASDAQ: USIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $2.92 (-10.15% 1D, market cap $92.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, USIO ranks #682 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USIO compare to GSIW and WTF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), USIO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -16.1%. By comparison, GSIW (Garden Stage Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $97.7M) and WTF (Waton Financial Limited) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $98.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USIO leads on capital efficiency (-16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USIO?

Per USIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001088034), Usio Inc. generated $85.4M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and $1.1M in free cash flow against $134.9M in total assets and $1.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USIO last traded at $2.92 (-10.15% on volume of 334,488 shares), positioning the stock +6.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.74) and +54.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.89). Across its 52-week range of $1.03 to $3.29, USIO sits at the 83.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.56 to $3.28).

USIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is USIO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for USIO.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

USIO — Usio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, USIO scores 50 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11/20 (ROIC of -16.1% and FCF yield of 1.16%), Whale 13F Flow scores 15/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction scores 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit scores 11/20 (Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8/20 (Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 4/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5). The weakest pillar is insider conviction, and the cash-engine pillar reflects negative return on invested capital alongside a low free cash flow yield. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a stock whose underlying economics have not yet translated into sustained value creation; the strongest support in the scorecard comes from institutional positioning rather than from the company's own profitability. Upside drivers would need to come from a durable improvement in returns on capital, while valuation tradeoffs remain difficult to assess because forward earnings metrics are not available in the source data.

Business

Per the Profile section, Usio Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Financials sector, operating within the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. The profile describes its market capitalization as $0.1B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Recent news items reference ACH records, education payments, and an "Ion platform," which indicates payment-related activity, but the source data does not provide a detailed description of how the company earns its revenue.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$85.4M$-2.4M$-2.5MN/A$1.1M$7.4M$1.1M
FY 2024$82.9M$-1.5M$3.3MN/A$2.7M$8.1M$0.6M
FY 2023$84.1M$-0.4M$-0.5MN/A$3.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $84.1M in FY 2023 to $82.9M in FY 2024 and $85.4M in FY 2025, while operating income was negative in FY 2025 at $-2.4M. Market data reports an operating margin of -2.8%, a net margin of -2.9%, and a gross margin of 0%. ROIC is -16.1% per the market data, and the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9. Cash declined from $8.1M to $7.4M and debt rose from $0.6M to $1.1M across FY 2024 and FY 2025, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 per the RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, several items cover Usio's presence at the LD Micro 20th Annual Main Event Conference and reference growth, leverage, and new catalysts. One headline references ACH records, education payments, and the Ion platform as drivers of profit growth. Another item notes that third-quarter results are due after markets close on Nov. 10, with the call set for 4:30 p.m. Several headlines are labeled as catalysts while others are labeled as market wire items; the source does not indicate the substance of the catalysts beyond headline text. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for this company; the sector is Financials and the industry is Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service with supply_chain listed as NONE. Watch items include the upcoming third-quarter release and whether the referenced growth themes appear in reported results.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's forward earnings and valuation multiples, given that P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data?
  • What is the reported EPS for any period, given that EPS is listed as N/A across all reported fiscal years?
  • What drove the decline in cash and rise in debt between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and how is the balance sheet expected to evolve?
  • What specific products, revenue streams, and customer relationships generate the company's $85.4M in FY 2025 revenue?
  • What does the referenced growth from ACH records, education payments, and the Ion platform contribute to reported results, and will it appear in the third-quarter release?

USIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Usio Inc. (USIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to USIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

USIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.92?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON USIO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on USIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $3.51 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is USIO (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $3.25?

Welcome to the USIO (Usio Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.67 (-17.8%)
Spot @ $3.25

Pump the brakes on USIO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on USIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Usio Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.10 (+26.2%)
Spot @ $3.25

USIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on USIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.25 (52-wk range $1.03 - $3.29), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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