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Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.83 -2.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.82

Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $77.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.82 (-0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 10.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIEB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SIEB SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$2.26-13.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$1.95-5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$1.85-1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.83+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SIEB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, SIEB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.18) or 200D SMA ($2.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.83) toward Bear Floor ($1.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIEB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SIEB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

38.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE

L: $2$1.83H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SIEB

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

6.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.54% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (62)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SIEB

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SIEB)

✓Walkthrough of SIEB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SIEB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.57%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.84H $1.89L $1.83C $1.83VOL 7.0K

RES: $3.26SUP: $1.77SMA50: $2.18SMA200: $2.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIEB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SIEB Butterfly Map → + Track SIEB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIEB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIEB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIEB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIEB)

Financials Rank #623 of 1096 ⚔️ AIB vs SIEB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SIEB vs. AIB, EVF, ANTA, USIO)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) ranks #623 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #992 by equity capitalization ($77.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SIEB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ANTA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. EVF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with SIEB at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SIEB ACTIVE Siebert Financial Corp.	D+	58/100	—	—	6.2%	-2.14%	$77.3M	Benchmark Subject
AIB AIB Data Centers Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-5.40%	$79.8M	/aib-vs-sieb →
EVF Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.83%	$85.1M	/evf-vs-sieb →
ANTA Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A)	D	50/100	—	—	10.6%	+4.45%	$66.2M	/anta-vs-sieb →
USIO Usio Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-16.1%	+2.52%	$92.6M	/usio-vs-sieb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000065596

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) reported GAAP revenue of $94.2M (+12.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.9M , and +31.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $10.2M, and free cash flow of $9.7M (-1.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SIEB closed FY2025 with $759.0M in total assets against $4.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$94.2M	$0	$10.2M	$9.7M	$759.0M	$4.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.9M	$0	$10.1M	$9.8M	$519.7M	$4.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$71.5M	$7.8M	-$4.8M	-$4.8M	—	—

3. SIEB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIEB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Siebert Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: SIEB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.83 (-2.14% 1D, market cap $77.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SIEB ranks #623 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SIEB compare to AIB and EVF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), SIEB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, AIB (AIB Data Centers Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $79.8M) and EVF (Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $85.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIEB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ANTA leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIEB?

Per SIEB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000065596), Siebert Financial Corp. generated $94.2M in revenue (+12.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $759.0M in total assets and $4.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SIEB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIEB last traded at $1.83 (-2.14% on volume of 9,664 shares), positioning the stock -16.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.18) and -9.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.03). Across its 52-week range of $1.53 to $4.14, SIEB sits at the 11.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($1.67 to $1.99).

SIEB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SIEB stock right now?

Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SIEB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SIEB's 12-month base price target is $1.83 (range $1.43 to $4.35), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SIEB RQD Cockpit SIEB 12M Forecast SIEB Earnings & Move SIEB Dividends & DRIP SIEB Insiders & 13F SIEB Whale Options SIEB Profit Sankey SIEB News & Why