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Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) (ANTA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell ANTA stock right now?

Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) (ANTA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is ANTA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ANTA's 12-month base price target is $1.7 (range $1.33 to $12.79), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.76 +4.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.77

Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) (ANTA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $66.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.77 (+0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ANTA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ANTA SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.37-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.28-14% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.96-10.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.76-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ANTA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ANTA currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.87) and Max Pain ($1.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ANTA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ANTA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

30.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $2$1.76H: $12

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ANTA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

10.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -6.37% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ANTA

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ANTA)

✓Walkthrough of ANTA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ANTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -79.42%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.69H $1.94L $1.61C $1.76VOL 24.0K

RES: $2.91SUP: $1.45SMA50: $2.87SMA200: $6.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ANTA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ANTA Butterfly Map → + Track ANTA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +67.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ANTA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ANTA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ANTA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ANTA)

Financials Rank #862 of 1096 ⚔️ SIEB vs ANTA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ANTA vs. SIEB, AIB, EVF, USIO)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) (ANTA) ranks #862 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #1003 by equity capitalization ($66.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ANTA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ANTA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. EVF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with ANTA at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ANTA ACTIVE Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A)	D	50/100	—	—	10.6%	+4.45%	$66.2M	Benchmark Subject
SIEB Siebert Financial Corp.	D+	58/100	—	—	6.2%	-2.14%	$77.3M	/sieb-vs-anta →
AIB AIB Data Centers Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-5.40%	$79.8M	/aib-vs-anta →
EVF Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.83%	$85.1M	/evf-vs-anta →
USIO Usio Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-16.1%	+2.52%	$92.6M	/usio-vs-anta →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002044255

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) (ANTA) reported GAAP revenue of $79.7M (+67.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.5M , and +606.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.4M, operating cash flow of -$3.8M, and free cash flow of -$4.2M (+64.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ANTA closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$79.7M	$24.4M	-$3.8M	-$4.2M	$2.41B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$47.5M	$4.4M	-$11.7M	-$11.9M	$1.25B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$11.3M	-$6.6M	-$12.2M	-$12.2M	—	—

3. ANTA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ANTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) (NASDAQ: ANTA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.76 (+4.45% 1D, market cap $66.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ANTA ranks #862 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ANTA compare to SIEB and AIB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ANTA carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, SIEB (Siebert Financial Corp.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $77.3M) and AIB (AIB Data Centers Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $79.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANTA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ANTA leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ANTA?

Per ANTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002044255), Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) generated $79.7M in revenue (+67.9% YoY), $24.4M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ANTA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ANTA last traded at $1.76 (+4.45% on volume of 28,869 shares), positioning the stock -38.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.87) and -71.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.08). Across its 52-week range of $1.60 to $12.18, ANTA sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.54 to $1.98).

ANTA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ANTA stock right now?

Antalpha Platform Holding Company (Class A) (ANTA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ANTA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ANTA's 12-month base price target is $1.7 (range $1.33 to $12.79), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ANTA RQD Cockpit ANTA 12M Forecast ANTA Earnings & Move ANTA Dividends & DRIP ANTA Insiders & 13F ANTA Whale Options ANTA Profit Sankey ANTA News & Why