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Why USDE Stock surged +4.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$9.88 +4.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.94
StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) (USDE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $268.6M
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Is USDE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: USDE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $9.88 (+4.44% 1D, market cap $268.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, USDE ranks #591 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does USDE compare to MFIN and XYF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), USDE carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MFIN (Medallion Financial Corp.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $268.2M) and XYF (X Financial each representing six (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $267.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIN leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while XYF leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USDE?
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Per USDE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002080215), StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $683.9K in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.94 (+0.61%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USDE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USDE SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 51% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$12.68-19.5% Next Q
62
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$10.21+3.5% Next Q
59
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$10.57-6.5% Next Q
57
CurrentGrade D+$9.88-0.7% Hist 90D α
54
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USDE Turnaround Squeeze
While USDE currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.54) and Max Pain ($10.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.02.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USDE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USDE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why USDE Stock surged +4.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) (USDE) surged +4.44% to $9.88, trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($1.33 – $18.11). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($1.33 – $18.11) with RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $9.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $7.5M annual free cash flow.
Live USDE Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USDE)
- ✓Walkthrough of USDE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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USDE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +167.03%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $9.46H $9.88L $9.46C $9.88VOL 1.01M
SUP: $10.03SMA50: $10.54SMA200: $6.91
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
USDE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USDE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USDE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USDE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USDE)
Financials Rank #591 of 1096
⚔️ MFIN vs USDE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (USDE vs. MFIN, XYF, SVIA, RWAY)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) (USDE) ranks #591 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #836 by equity capitalization ($268.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIN leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while XYF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and — gross margin. MFIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with USDE at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USDE
ACTIVE
StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | +4.44% | $268.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| MFIN Medallion Financial Corp. | C- | 61/100 | 6.2x | — | 10.5% | +1.39% | $268.2M | /mfin-vs-usde → |
| XYF X Financial each representing six (Class A) | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | 18.8% | +0.83% | $267.9M | /xyf-vs-usde → |
| SVIA Silvia Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -4.49% | $267.3M | /svia-vs-usde → |
| RWAY Runway Growth Finance Corp. | D+ | 54/100 | 8.1x | — | 7.0% | +1.70% | $276.6M | /rway-vs-usde → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002080215In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) (USDE) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, USDE closed FY2025 with $683.9K in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $683.9K | — |
3. USDE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs USDE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: USDE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $9.88 (+4.44% 1D, market cap $268.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, USDE ranks #591 in composite RQD confidence.
How does USDE compare to MFIN and XYF in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), USDE carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MFIN (Medallion Financial Corp.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $268.2M) and XYF (X Financial each representing six (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $267.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIN leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while XYF leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USDE?
Per USDE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002080215), StablecoinX Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $683.9K in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is USDE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
USDE last traded at $9.88 (+4.44% on volume of 1,014,051 shares), positioning the stock -6.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.54) and +42.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.91). Across its 52-week range of $1.33 to $18.11, USDE sits at the 51.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.64 to $11.12).
USDE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is USDE stock moving today?
Why USDE Stock surged +4.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.