MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why ULH Stock surged +2.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$17.42 +2.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.46
Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (ULH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $459.3M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.46 (+0.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ULH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ULH SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$17.35-5.9% Next Q
31
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$16.32+2.6% Next Q
34
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$16.74+4.1% Next Q
36
CurrentGrade D-$17.42-7.6% Hist 90D α
39
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ULH Turnaround Squeeze
While ULH currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.78) and Max Pain ($18.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.09.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ULH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ULH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ULH Stock surged +2.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (ULH) surged +2.23% to $17.42, trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($11.73 – $25.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($11.73 – $25.8) with RSI-14 at 76.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $17.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ULH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ULH)
- ✓Walkthrough of ULH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ULH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.66%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $19.28H $22.89L $17.42C $17.42VOL 182.9K
RES: $22.23SUP: $15.85SMA50: $17.78SMA200: $17.40
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ULH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -15.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ULH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ULH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ULH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ULH)
Industrials Rank #383 of 485
⚔️ CVLG vs ULH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ULH vs. CVLG, HTLD, PAMT, MRTN)
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (ULH) ranks #383 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #303 by equity capitalization ($459.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRTN leads on earnings valuation at 55.1x trailing P/E, while MRTN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MRTN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ULH at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULH
ACTIVE
Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -4.2% | +2.23% | $459.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| CVLG Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | 101.0x | — | 0.4% | -0.52% | $731.4M | /cvlg-vs-ulh → |
| HTLD Heartland Express Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -5.1% | +1.87% | $802.7M | /htld-vs-ulh → |
| PAMT PAMT CORP | D | 46/100 | — | — | -11.4% | +5.28% | $238.1M | /pamt-vs-ulh → |
| MRTN Marten Transport Ltd. | C | 65/100 | 55.1x | — | 2.5% | +0.86% | $960.3M | /mrtn-vs-ulh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001308208In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (ULH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.56B (-15.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.85B , and -6.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$99.9M, operating cash flow of $183.0M, and free cash flow of -$41.1M (+70.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ULH closed FY2025 with $1.77B in total assets against $682.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.56B | -$99.9M | $183.0M | -$41.1M | $1.77B | $682.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.85B | $129.9M | $112.4M | -$139.2M | $1.79B | $670.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.66B | $92.9M | $210.2M | $210.2M | — | — |
3. ULH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ULH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ULH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $17.42 (+2.23% 1D, market cap $459.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ULH ranks #383 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ULH compare to CVLG and HTLD in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ULH carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.2%. By comparison, CVLG (Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 101.0x, ROIC 0.4%, cap $731.4M) and HTLD (Heartland Express Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $802.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRTN leads on earnings multiple (55.1x) while MRTN leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ULH?
Per ULH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001308208), Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. generated $1.56B in revenue (-15.6% YoY), -$99.9M in net income, and -$41.1M in free cash flow against $1.77B in total assets and $682.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ULH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ULH last traded at $17.42 (+2.23% on volume of 81,469 shares), positioning the stock -2.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.78) and +0.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.40). Across its 52-week range of $11.73 to $25.80, ULH sits at the 40.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 76.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($15.24 to $19.60).
ULH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ULH stock moving today?
Why ULH Stock surged +2.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.