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Why TUYA Stock surged +3.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (48% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 6.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TUYA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TUYA faces multiple-compression risk if 17.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.74) or 200D SMA ($2.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.76) toward Bear Floor ($1.36).
Why TUYA Stock surged +3.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) surged +3.75% to $1.66, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($1.56 – $2.61). High-quality cash engine (48% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($1.56 – $2.61) with RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $1.66 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 48.2% gross margin and $81.0M annual free cash flow.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TUYA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TUYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUYA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUYA)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TUYA vs. NABL, RPD, COUR, BBAI)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) ranks #74 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #351 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. TUYA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUYA
ACTIVE
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share | B | 72/100 | 17.6x | 48.2% | 6.9% | +3.75% | $1.02B | Benchmark Subject |
| NABL N-able Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | 76.9% | 2.5% | -2.08% | $978.5M | /nabl-vs-tuya → |
| RPD Rapid7 Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | 49.2x | 70.3% | 15.9% | -3.39% | $1.15B | /rpd-vs-tuya → |
| COUR Coursera Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | 54.6% | -35.0% | -0.85% | $1.23B | /cour-vs-tuya → |
| BBAI BigBear.ai Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 22.3% | -27.5% | +8.54% | $1.29B | /bbai-vs-tuya → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829118In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported GAAP revenue of $321.8M (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $298.6M , and +39.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $57.9M, operating cash flow of $81.0M, and free cash flow of $81.0M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUYA closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.21, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $321.8M | $57.9M | $81.0M | $81.0M | $1.13B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $298.6M | $5.0M | $80.4M | $80.4M | $1.10B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $230.0M | -$60.3M | $36.4M | $36.4M | — | — |
3. TUYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $1.66 (+3.75% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TUYA compare to NABL and RPD in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and RPD (Rapid7 Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 49.2x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $1.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?
Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TUYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TUYA last traded at $1.66 (+3.75% on volume of 698,075 shares), positioning the stock -4.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.74) and -17.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.61, TUYA sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($1.56 to $1.76).
TUYA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TUYA stock moving today?
Why TUYA Stock surged +3.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (48% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.