Stock Ratings / Technology / TUYA / financials

NABL (57) RPD (52) COUR (54) BBAI (28) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.66 +3.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (48% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.02B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68 (+0.91%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TUYA SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$1.72-4.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$1.65+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$1.65+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B$1.66+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TUYA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TUYA faces multiple-compression risk if 17.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.74) or 200D SMA ($2.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.76) toward Bear Floor ($1.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUYA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TUYA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TUYA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$81.0M (25.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $230.0M

FY24

Rev $298.6M

FY25

Rev $321.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$321.8M	48.2%	3.6%	$57.9M	$81.0M	6.9%
FY 2024	$298.6M	47.4%	-15.9%	$5.0M	$80.4M	-10.6%
FY 2023	$230.0M	48.2%	-46%	-$60.3M	$36.4M	6.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUYA)

✓Walkthrough of TUYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TUYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.83%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.66H $1.66L $1.56C $1.66VOL 994.6K

RES: $1.89SUP: $1.59SMA50: $1.74SMA200: $2.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TUYA Butterfly Map → + Track TUYA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUYA)

Technology Rank #74 of 714 ⚔️ NABL vs TUYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TUYA vs. NABL, RPD, COUR, BBAI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) ranks #74 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #351 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. TUYA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TUYA ACTIVE Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share	B	72/100	17.6x	48.2%	6.9%	+3.75%	$1.02B	Benchmark Subject
NABL N-able Inc.	D+	57/100	—	76.9%	2.5%	-2.08%	$978.5M	/nabl-vs-tuya →
RPD Rapid7 Inc.	D+	52/100	49.2x	70.3%	15.9%	-3.39%	$1.15B	/rpd-vs-tuya →
COUR Coursera Inc.	D+	54/100	—	54.6%	-35.0%	-0.85%	$1.23B	/cour-vs-tuya →
BBAI BigBear.ai Inc.	E	28/100	—	22.3%	-27.5%	+8.54%	$1.29B	/bbai-vs-tuya →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829118

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported GAAP revenue of $321.8M (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $298.6M , and +39.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $57.9M, operating cash flow of $81.0M, and free cash flow of $81.0M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUYA closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.21, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$321.8M	$57.9M	$81.0M	$81.0M	$1.13B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$298.6M	$5.0M	$80.4M	$80.4M	$1.10B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$230.0M	-$60.3M	$36.4M	$36.4M	—	—

3. TUYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $1.66 (+3.75% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TUYA compare to NABL and RPD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and RPD (Rapid7 Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 49.2x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $1.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?

Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TUYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUYA last traded at $1.66 (+3.75% on volume of 698,075 shares), positioning the stock -4.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.74) and -17.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.61, TUYA sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($1.56 to $1.76).

TUYA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TUYA converted $321.8M of revenue into a 48.2% gross margin, 3.6% operating margin, and $81.0M in free cash flow (25.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TUYA RQD Cockpit TUYA 12M Forecast TUYA Earnings & Move TUYA Dividends & DRIP TUYA Insiders & 13F TUYA Whale Options TUYA Profit Sankey TUYA News & Why