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Stock Ratings / Technology / RPD
COUR (54) BBAI (28) RDVT (59) TUYA (72) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.08 -3.39% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.94

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.15B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.94 (-0.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 17% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$20 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RPD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RPD SCORES 52/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17% FCF Margin ($146.2M FCF) & 70.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$13.74-8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$12.61+18.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$14.91+14.6% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$17.08-1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (44) β†’ D+ (52)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While RPD currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.89) and Max Pain ($17.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.64.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPDβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRPD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.530 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.29>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE88% OF RANGE
L: $5$17.08H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (70% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on RPD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

15.9% ROIC with 70.3% gross margin and 12.70% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.29 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RPD
  • βœ“Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 49x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of RPD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
RPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +189.49%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $16.98H $17.40L $15.88C $17.08VOL 1.63M
RES: $18.78SUP: $12.64SMA50: $12.89SMA200: $9.45
$19.45$15.75$12.05$8.35$4.65RES $18.78SUP $12.64$17.082026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ RPD Butterfly Map β†’ + Track RPD β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
35.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPD)

Technology Rank #374 of 714 βš”οΈ COUR vs RPD Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RPD vs. COUR, BBAI, RDVT, TUYA)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) ranks #374 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #343 by equity capitalization ($1.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TUYA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with RPD at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPD ACTIVE
Rapid7 Inc.
D+ 52/100 49.2x 70.3% 15.9% -3.39% $1.15B Benchmark Subject
COUR
Coursera Inc.
D+ 54/100 β€” 54.6% -35.0% -0.85% $1.23B /cour-vs-rpd β†’
BBAI
BigBear.ai Inc.
E 28/100 β€” 22.3% -27.5% +8.54% $1.29B /bbai-vs-rpd β†’
RDVT
Red Violet Inc.
C- 59/100 98.2x β€” 16.1% -2.35% $1.29B /rdvt-vs-rpd β†’
TUYA
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
B 72/100 17.6x 48.2% 6.9% +3.75% $1.02B /tuya-vs-rpd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001560327

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) reported GAAP revenue of $859.8M (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $844.0M , and +10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.4M, operating cash flow of $153.8M, and free cash flow of $146.2M (-13.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPD closed FY2025 with $1.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.29, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $859.8M $23.4M $153.8M $146.2M $1.73B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $844.0M $25.5M $171.7M $168.2M $1.65B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $777.7M -$152.8M $104.3M $104.3M β€” β€”

3. RPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rapid7 Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $17.08 (-3.39% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RPD ranks #374 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPD compare to COUR and BBAI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RPD carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.2x, gross margin of 70.3%, and ROIC of 15.9%. By comparison, COUR (Coursera Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.23B) and BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPD?

Per RPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560327), Rapid7 Inc. generated $859.8M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $23.4M in net income, and $146.2M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPD last traded at $17.08 (-3.39% on volume of 2,425,143 shares), positioning the stock +32.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.89) and +80.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.45). Across its 52-week range of $4.97 to $18.70, RPD sits at the 88.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($14.95 to $19.21).

RPD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RPD stock right now?

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 49x P/E (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RPD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RPD's 12-month base price target is $16.62 (range $12.96 to $19.64), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: RPD RQD Cockpit RPD 12M Forecast RPD Earnings & Move RPD Dividends & DRIP RPD Insiders & 13F RPD Whale Options RPD Profit Sankey RPD News & Why
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