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Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.66 +3.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.67

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.02B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TUYA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.66 (+3.75% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #263 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TUYA compare to NABL and RPD in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and RPD (Rapid7 Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 49.2x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $1.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?

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Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.67 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TUYA SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$1.73-4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$1.66-1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$1.64+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.66+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TUYA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, TUYA faces multiple-compression risk if 17.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.74) or 200D SMA ($2.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.66) toward Bear Floor ($1.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUYA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TUYA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

6.21>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE10% OF RANGE

L: $2$1.66H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (48% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TUYA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

6.9% ROIC with 48.2% gross margin and 7.96% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 6.21 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TUYA

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUYA)

✓Walkthrough of TUYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TUYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.83%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $1.60H $1.66L $1.60C $1.66VOL 698.1K

RES: $1.72SUP: $1.59SMA50: $1.74SMA200: $2.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TUYA Butterfly Map → + Track TUYA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUYA)

Technology Rank #263 of 714 ⚔️ NABL vs TUYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TUYA vs. NABL, RPD, COUR, BBAI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) ranks #263 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #351 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. RPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with TUYA at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TUYA ACTIVE Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share	D+	58/100	17.6x	48.2%	6.9%	+3.75%	$1.02B	Benchmark Subject
NABL N-able Inc.	D+	58/100	—	76.9%	2.5%	-2.08%	$978.5M	/nabl-vs-tuya →
RPD Rapid7 Inc.	C	64/100	49.2x	70.3%	15.9%	-3.39%	$1.15B	/rpd-vs-tuya →
COUR Coursera Inc.	D	44/100	—	54.6%	-35.0%	-0.85%	$1.23B	/cour-vs-tuya →
BBAI BigBear.ai Inc.	E	28/100	—	22.3%	-27.5%	+8.54%	$1.29B	/bbai-vs-tuya →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829118

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported GAAP revenue of $321.8M (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $298.6M , and +39.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $57.9M, operating cash flow of $81.0M, and free cash flow of $81.0M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUYA closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.21, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$321.8M	$57.9M	$81.0M	$81.0M	$1.13B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$298.6M	$5.0M	$80.4M	$80.4M	$1.10B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$230.0M	-$60.3M	$36.4M	$36.4M	—	—

3. TUYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TUYA compare to NABL and RPD in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?

Where is TUYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUYA last traded at $1.66 (+3.75% on volume of 698,075 shares), positioning the stock -4.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.74) and -17.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.61, TUYA sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($1.56 to $1.76).

TUYA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TUYA stock right now?

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 18x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TUYA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TUYA's 12-month base price target is $1.66 (range $1.29 to $2.74), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TUYA RQD Cockpit TUYA 12M Forecast TUYA Earnings & Move TUYA Dividends & DRIP TUYA Insiders & 13F TUYA Whale Options TUYA Profit Sankey TUYA News & Why