Stock Ratings / Technology / RPD / earnings

COUR (54) BBAI (28) RDVT (59) TUYA (72) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$17.08 -3.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.94

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.15B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RPD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Rapid7 Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $17.08 (-3.39% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RPD ranks #374 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RPD compare to COUR and BBAI in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RPD carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.2x, gross margin of 70.3%, and ROIC of 15.9%. By comparison, COUR (Coursera Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.23B) and BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPD?

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Per RPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560327), Rapid7 Inc. generated $859.8M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $23.4M in net income, and $146.2M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.94 (-0.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 17% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RPD SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17% FCF Margin ($146.2M FCF) & 70.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.74-8.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$12.61+18.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.91+14.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$17.08-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RPD currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.89) and Max Pain ($17.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RPD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$2.13 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RPD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $0.35 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.9%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$859.8M	$23.4M	$146.2M	70.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$844.0M	$25.5M	$168.2M	70.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$777.7M	-$152.8M	$104.3M	70.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPD)

✓Walkthrough of RPD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +189.49%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $16.98H $17.40L $15.88C $17.08VOL 1.63M

RES: $18.78SUP: $12.64SMA50: $12.89SMA200: $9.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RPD Butterfly Map → + Track RPD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

35.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPD)

Technology Rank #374 of 714 ⚔️ COUR vs RPD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RPD vs. COUR, BBAI, RDVT, TUYA)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) ranks #374 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #343 by equity capitalization ($1.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. TUYA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with RPD at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RPD ACTIVE Rapid7 Inc.	D+	52/100	49.2x	70.3%	15.9%	-3.39%	$1.15B	Benchmark Subject
COUR Coursera Inc.	D+	54/100	—	54.6%	-35.0%	-0.85%	$1.23B	/cour-vs-rpd →
BBAI BigBear.ai Inc.	E	28/100	—	22.3%	-27.5%	+8.54%	$1.29B	/bbai-vs-rpd →
RDVT Red Violet Inc.	C-	59/100	98.2x	—	16.1%	-2.35%	$1.29B	/rdvt-vs-rpd →
TUYA Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share	B	72/100	17.6x	48.2%	6.9%	+3.75%	$1.02B	/tuya-vs-rpd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001560327

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) reported GAAP revenue of $859.8M (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $844.0M , and +10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.4M, operating cash flow of $153.8M, and free cash flow of $146.2M (-13.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPD closed FY2025 with $1.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.29, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$859.8M	$23.4M	$153.8M	$146.2M	$1.73B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$844.0M	$25.5M	$171.7M	$168.2M	$1.65B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$777.7M	-$152.8M	$104.3M	$104.3M	—	—

3. RPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RPD compare to COUR and BBAI in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPD?

Where is RPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPD last traded at $17.08 (-3.39% on volume of 2,425,143 shares), positioning the stock +32.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.89) and +80.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.45). Across its 52-week range of $4.97 to $18.70, RPD sits at the 88.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.95 to $19.21).

RPD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RPD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Rapid7 Inc. (RPD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RPD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for RPD, spanning a range between $14.95 and $19.21.

Direct Sub-Reports: RPD RQD Cockpit RPD 12M Forecast RPD Earnings & Move RPD Dividends & DRIP RPD Insiders & 13F RPD Whale Options RPD Profit Sankey RPD News & Why