Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) slipped -0.81% to $3.69, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($2.86 – $10.59). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
LyondellBasell (LYB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -6.96% and +0.30%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Tronox (TROX) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
The latest update on Tronox Holdings centers on a reset in fair value, with the model price anchor moving from US$6.63 to US$5.50. That shift lines up with more cautious Street commentary, where several banks now group t
Truist Securities analyst Peter Osterland maintains Tronox Holdings (NYSE:TROX) with a Hold and lowers the price target from $7 to $4.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TROX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TROX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) ranks #212 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #165 by equity capitalization ($589.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXFR leads on earnings valuation at 60.0x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with TROX at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROX
ACTIVE
Tronox Holdings plc (UK) | D- | 41/100 | — | 9.3% | -16.4% | -0.81% | $589.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| PCT PureCycle Technologies Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +5.05% | $669.0M | /pct-vs-trox → |
| FMC FMC Corporation | D | 45/100 | — | 37.0% | -30.2% | +6.26% | $738.9M | /fmc-vs-trox → |
| BAK Braskem SA ADR | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -2.52% | $462.4M | /bak-vs-trox → |
| LXFR Luxfer Holdings PLC | C+ | 68/100 | 60.0x | 23.2% | 8.2% | +0.12% | $462.1M | /lxfr-vs-trox → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (-5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.07B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$470.0M, operating cash flow of $60.0M, and free cash flow of $60.0M (-80.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TROX closed FY2025 with $6.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.90B | -$470.0M | $60.0M | $60.0M | $6.22B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.07B | -$48.0M | $300.0M | $300.0M | $6.04B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.85B | -$316.0M | $184.0M | $184.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (NYSE: TROX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $3.69 (-0.81% 1D, market cap $589.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TROX ranks #212 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TROX carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -16.4%. By comparison, PCT (PureCycle Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $669.0M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $738.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXFR leads on earnings multiple (60.0x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per TROX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001530804), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) generated $2.90B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), -$470.0M in net income, and $60.0M in free cash flow against $6.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TROX last traded at $3.69 (-0.81% on volume of 2,492,957 shares), positioning the stock -12.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.20) and -44.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.66). Across its 52-week range of $2.86 to $10.59, TROX sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($3.24 to $4.14).
Why TROX Stock slipped -0.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.