Stock Ratings / Materials / TROX / dividends

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Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.69 -0.81% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.68

Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $589.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.68 (-0.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 2.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TROX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TROX SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.63-4.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.47-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.46+6.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.69-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TROX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TROX currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.20) and Max Pain ($3.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TROX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TROX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

9.95% Total Yield

8.15% Cash ($0.30/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

52% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $35,478

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $3,530/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.3K

Yr 1

$12.9K

Yr 2

$14.6K

Yr 3

$16.6K

Yr 4

$18.8K

Yr 5

$21.4K

Yr 6

$24.3K

Yr 7

$27.5K

Yr 8

$31.3K

Yr 9

$35.5K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TROX)

✓Walkthrough of TROX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TROX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $3.64H $3.71L $3.53C $3.69VOL 1.53M

RES: $3.69SUP: $2.95SMA50: $4.20SMA200: $6.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TROX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TROX Butterfly Map → + Track TROX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TROX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TROX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TROX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TROX)

Materials Rank #212 of 270 ⚔️ PCT vs TROX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TROX vs. PCT, FMC, BAK, LXFR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) ranks #212 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #165 by equity capitalization ($589.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXFR leads on earnings valuation at 60.0x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with TROX at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TROX ACTIVE Tronox Holdings plc (UK)	D-	41/100	—	9.3%	-16.4%	-0.81%	$589.3M	Benchmark Subject
PCT PureCycle Technologies Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	+5.05%	$669.0M	/pct-vs-trox →
FMC FMC Corporation	D	45/100	—	37.0%	-30.2%	+6.26%	$738.9M	/fmc-vs-trox →
BAK Braskem SA ADR	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-2.52%	$462.4M	/bak-vs-trox →
LXFR Luxfer Holdings PLC	C+	68/100	60.0x	23.2%	8.2%	+0.12%	$462.1M	/lxfr-vs-trox →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001530804

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (-5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.07B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$470.0M, operating cash flow of $60.0M, and free cash flow of $60.0M (-80.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TROX closed FY2025 with $6.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.90B	-$470.0M	$60.0M	$60.0M	$6.22B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.07B	-$48.0M	$300.0M	$300.0M	$6.04B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.85B	-$316.0M	$184.0M	$184.0M	—	—

3. TROX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TROX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (NYSE: TROX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $3.69 (-0.81% 1D, market cap $589.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TROX ranks #212 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TROX compare to PCT and FMC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TROX carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -16.4%. By comparison, PCT (PureCycle Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $669.0M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $738.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXFR leads on earnings multiple (60.0x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROX?

Per TROX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001530804), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) generated $2.90B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), -$470.0M in net income, and $60.0M in free cash flow against $6.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TROX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TROX last traded at $3.69 (-0.81% on volume of 2,492,957 shares), positioning the stock -12.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.20) and -44.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.66). Across its 52-week range of $2.86 to $10.59, TROX sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($3.24 to $4.14).

TROX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does TROX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) offers a 8.15% cash dividend yield ($0.30 annualized) and 9.95% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: TROX RQD Cockpit TROX 12M Forecast TROX Earnings & Move TROX Dividends & DRIP TROX Insiders & 13F TROX Whale Options TROX Profit Sankey TROX News & Why