TROOPS Inc. (TROO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.31 +6.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.33

TROOPS Inc. (TROO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $282.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.33 (+1.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.1% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TROO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TROO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TROO SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$1.74-5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$1.65+42.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$2.35-1.7% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$2.31-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TROO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TROO currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.95) and Max Pain ($2.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TROO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TROO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TROO Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TROO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TROO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TROO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TROO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TROO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.80%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $2.07H $2.31L $2.07C $2.31VOL 217.0K
RES: $2.47SUP: $1.52SMA50: $1.95SMA200: $2.68
$4.96$3.89$2.82$1.76$0.69RES $2.47SUP $1.52$2.312026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TROO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TROO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TROO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TROO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TROO)

Financials Rank #937 of 1096 ⚔️ BBDC vs TROO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TROO vs. BBDC, OBDC, IX, WNEB)

Industry: Diversified Financial Services (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TROOPS Inc. (TROO) ranks #937 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #825 by equity capitalization ($282.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OBDC leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while IX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BBDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with TROO at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TROO ACTIVE
TROOPS Inc.
D 45/100 — — -35.0% +6.94% $282.2M Benchmark Subject
BBDC
Barings BDC Inc.
B- 71/100 8.9x — 8.8% +1.63% $912.0M /bbdc-vs-troo →
OBDC
Blue Owl Capital Corporation
C 65/100 8.3x — 6.4% +3.55% $5.18B /obdc-vs-troo →
IX
ORIX Corporation
D+ 58/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.30% $40.70B /ix-vs-troo →
WNEB
Western New England Bancorp Inc.
C 63/100 18.5x — 6.2% +2.40% $282.2M /wneb-vs-troo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001412095

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TROOPS Inc. (TROO) reported GAAP revenue of $17.1M (+69.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.1M , and +379.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $807.0K, and free cash flow of $807.0K (-58.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TROO closed FY2025 with $69.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.1M $0 $807.0K $807.0K $69.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.1M $0 $2.0M $2.0M $79.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.6M $0 -$6.5M -$6.5M — —

3. TROO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TROO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TROOPS Inc. (NASDAQ: TROO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $2.31 (+6.94% 1D, market cap $282.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TROO ranks #937 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TROO compare to BBDC and OBDC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Diversified Financial Services), TROO carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BBDC (Barings BDC Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $912.0M) and OBDC (Blue Owl Capital Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OBDC leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while IX leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROO?

Per TROO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001412095), TROOPS Inc. generated $17.1M in revenue (+69.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $807.0K in free cash flow against $69.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TROO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TROO last traded at $2.31 (+6.94% on volume of 400,323 shares), positioning the stock +18.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.95) and -13.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.68). Across its 52-week range of $1.02 to $5.28, TROO sits at the 30.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.02 to $2.60).

TROO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are TROO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TROO leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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