TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE: TPVG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $4.55 (+2.02% 1D, market cap $185.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPVG ranks #520 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), TPVG carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.9%. By comparison, FC (Franklin Covey Company) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $208.5M) and WW (WW International Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $150.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPVG leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while WW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per TPVG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580345), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $49.2M in net income, and -$57.0M in free cash flow against $839.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.5% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TPVG faces multiple-compression risk if 3.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.86) or 200D SMA ($5.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.51) toward Bear Floor ($3.52).
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) surged +2.02% to $4.55, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($4.15 – $6.95). Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
TriplePoint Venture Growth (TPVG) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Most 10%+ yielders end up cutting their payouts, but a higher-rate environment has opened the door to a few that can actually last. We share two picks that fit the bill here.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPVG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPVG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) ranks #520 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #703 by equity capitalization ($185.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TPVG leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while WW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TPVG at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPVG
ACTIVE
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | D+ | 56/100 | 3.8x | — | 13.9% | +2.02% | $185.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| FC Franklin Covey Company | D+ | 55/100 | 68.0x | 76.2% | 12.4% | +0.38% | $208.5M | /fc-vs-tpvg → |
| WW WW International Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +4.59% | $150.5M | /ww-vs-tpvg → |
| KLC KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -1.0% | +5.13% | $243.0M | /klc-vs-tpvg → |
| ABLV Able View Global Inc. (Class B) | C | 65/100 | — | 11.3% | -5.5% | +7.60% | $140.8M | /ablv-vs-tpvg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $49.2M, operating cash flow of -$57.0M, and free cash flow of -$57.0M (-137.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPVG closed FY2025 with $839.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $49.2M | -$57.0M | -$57.0M | $839.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $32.0M | $152.9M | $152.9M | $763.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$39.8M | $106.1M | $106.1M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE: TPVG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $4.55 (+2.02% 1D, market cap $185.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPVG ranks #520 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), TPVG carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.9%. By comparison, FC (Franklin Covey Company) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $208.5M) and WW (WW International Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $150.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPVG leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while WW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per TPVG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580345), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $49.2M in net income, and -$57.0M in free cash flow against $839.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TPVG last traded at $4.55 (+2.02% on volume of 143,389 shares), positioning the stock -6.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.86) and -12.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.20). Across its 52-week range of $4.15 to $6.95, TPVG sits at the 14.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($4.25 to $4.85).
Why TPVG Stock surged +2.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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