MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why TPC Stock advanced +1.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$82.55 +1.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.99
Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (12% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $4.34B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Tutor Perini Corporation (NYSE: TPC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $82.55 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $4.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPC ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TPC compare to ZDAI and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs), TPC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.9x, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, ZDAI (DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.7M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNL leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while TNL leads on capital efficiency (21.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPC?
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Per TPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000077543), Tutor Perini Corporation generated $5.54B in revenue (+28.1% YoY), $80.4M in net income, and $567.2M in free cash flow against $5.16B in total assets and $392.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.99 (+0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TPC SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 4.2% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$83.36-6.8% Next Q
81
Q2 (-2Q)Grade A-$77.65-1% Next Q
78
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$76.86+7.4% Next Q
76
CurrentGrade B$82.55+7.1% Hist 90D α
73
Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, TPC faces multiple-compression risk if 53.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($84.45) or 200D SMA ($81.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($88.12) toward Bear Floor ($67.69).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TPC Stock advanced +1.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) advanced +1.60% to $82.55, trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($57.9 – $102.3). High-quality cash engine (12% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($57.9 – $102.3) with RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $82.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 11.7% gross margin and $567.2M annual free cash flow.
Live TPC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 9h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 12h ago
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TPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.16%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $79.57H $82.55L $78.77C $82.55VOL 311.6K
RES: $104.5SUP: $75.04SMA50: $84.45SMA200: $81.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
38.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +28.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPC)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #107 of 1011
⚔️ ZDAI vs TPC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TPC vs. ZDAI, VSEC, TNL, RHI)
Industry: General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs (2 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #299 by equity capitalization ($4.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNL leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while TNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.7% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. TPC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPC
ACTIVE
Tutor Perini Corporation | B | 73/100 | 53.9x | 11.7% | 20.9% | +1.60% | $4.34B | Benchmark Subject |
| ZDAI DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | -21.5% | — | +2.40% | $10.7M | /zdai-vs-tpc → |
| VSEC VSE Corporation | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | 4.3% | +6.10% | $4.35B | /vsec-vs-tpc → |
| TNL Travel Leisure Co. | C+ | 69/100 | 18.7x | 93.2% | 21.7% | +4.55% | $4.31B | /tnl-vs-tpc → |
| RHI Robert Half Inc. | B | 73/100 | 32.9x | 37.2% | 4.1% | +2.22% | $4.38B | /rhi-vs-tpc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000077543In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) reported GAAP revenue of $5.54B (+28.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.33B , and +42.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $80.4M, operating cash flow of $748.1M, and free cash flow of $567.2M (+21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPC closed FY2025 with $5.16B in total assets against $392.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $5.54B | $80.4M | $748.1M | $567.2M | $5.16B | $392.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.33B | -$163.7M | $503.5M | $466.1M | $4.24B | $510.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.88B | -$171.2M | $308.5M | $308.5M | — | — |
3. TPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Tutor Perini Corporation (NYSE: TPC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $82.55 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $4.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPC ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TPC compare to ZDAI and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs), TPC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.9x, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, ZDAI (DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.7M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNL leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while TNL leads on capital efficiency (21.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPC?
Per TPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000077543), Tutor Perini Corporation generated $5.54B in revenue (+28.1% YoY), $80.4M in net income, and $567.2M in free cash flow against $5.16B in total assets and $392.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TPC last traded at $82.55 (+1.60% on volume of 349,040 shares), positioning the stock -2.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($84.45) and +1.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($81.53). Across its 52-week range of $57.90 to $102.30, TPC sits at the 55.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($76.36 to $88.74).
TPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TPC stock moving today?
Why TPC Stock advanced +1.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (12% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.