Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TPC / earnings

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Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.5% Move

$82.55 +1.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.99

Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (12% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $4.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TPC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Tutor Perini Corporation (NYSE: TPC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $82.55 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $4.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPC ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPC compare to ZDAI and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs), TPC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.9x, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, ZDAI (DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.7M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNL leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while TNL leads on capital efficiency (21.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPC?

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Per TPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000077543), Tutor Perini Corporation generated $5.54B in revenue (+28.1% YoY), $80.4M in net income, and $567.2M in free cash flow against $5.16B in total assets and $392.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.99 (+0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TPC SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.2% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$83.36-6.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$77.65-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$76.86+7.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B$82.55+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, TPC faces multiple-compression risk if 53.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($84.45) or 200D SMA ($81.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($88.12) toward Bear Floor ($67.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.5% Swing Band

±$6.19 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TPC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $1.53 • YoY Revenue Growth: 28.1%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$5.54B	$80.4M	$567.2M	11.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$4.33B	-$163.7M	$466.1M	4.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$3.88B	-$171.2M	$308.5M	11.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TPC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TPC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.16%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $79.57H $82.55L $78.77C $82.55VOL 311.6K

RES: $104.5SUP: $75.04SMA50: $84.45SMA200: $81.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TPC Butterfly Map → + Track TPC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

38.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +28.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #107 of 1011 ⚔️ ZDAI vs TPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TPC vs. ZDAI, VSEC, TNL, RHI)

Industry: General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs (2 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #299 by equity capitalization ($4.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNL leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while TNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.7% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. TPC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TPC ACTIVE Tutor Perini Corporation	B	73/100	53.9x	11.7%	20.9%	+1.60%	$4.34B	Benchmark Subject
ZDAI DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)	D	44/100	—	-21.5%	—	+2.40%	$10.7M	/zdai-vs-tpc →
VSEC VSE Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	4.3%	+6.10%	$4.35B	/vsec-vs-tpc →
TNL Travel Leisure Co.	C+	69/100	18.7x	93.2%	21.7%	+4.55%	$4.31B	/tnl-vs-tpc →
RHI Robert Half Inc.	B	73/100	32.9x	37.2%	4.1%	+2.22%	$4.38B	/rhi-vs-tpc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000077543

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) reported GAAP revenue of $5.54B (+28.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.33B , and +42.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $80.4M, operating cash flow of $748.1M, and free cash flow of $567.2M (+21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPC closed FY2025 with $5.16B in total assets against $392.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.54B	$80.4M	$748.1M	$567.2M	$5.16B	$392.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.33B	-$163.7M	$503.5M	$466.1M	$4.24B	$510.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.88B	-$171.2M	$308.5M	$308.5M	—	—

3. TPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TPC compare to ZDAI and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPC?

Where is TPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPC last traded at $82.55 (+1.60% on volume of 349,040 shares), positioning the stock -2.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($84.45) and +1.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($81.53). Across its 52-week range of $57.90 to $102.30, TPC sits at the 55.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($76.36 to $88.74).

TPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TPC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TPC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.5% event move for TPC, spanning a range between $76.36 and $88.74.

Direct Sub-Reports: TPC RQD Cockpit TPC 12M Forecast TPC Earnings & Move TPC Dividends & DRIP TPC Insiders & 13F TPC Whale Options TPC Profit Sankey TPC News & Why