Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TPC / financials

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Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$79.82 -3.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.19

Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TPC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Tutor Perini Corporation (NYSE: TPC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $79.82 (-3.31% 1D, market cap $4.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPC ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPC compare to ZDAI and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs), TPC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.9x, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, ZDAI (DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.7M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNL leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while TNL leads on capital efficiency (21.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPC?

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Per TPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000077543), Tutor Perini Corporation generated $5.54B in revenue (+28.1% YoY), $80.4M in net income, and $567.2M in free cash flow against $5.16B in total assets and $392.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.19 (-0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TPC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.11 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$83.49-6.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$78.27+0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$78.49+1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C$79.82+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, TPC faces multiple-compression risk if 53.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($84.28) or 200D SMA ($81.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($82.33) toward Bear Floor ($64.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TPC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$567.2M (10.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $3.88B

FY24

Rev $4.33B

FY25

Rev $5.54B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$5.54B	11.7%	4.2%	$80.4M	$567.2M	20.9%
FY 2024	$4.33B	4.6%	-2.4%	-$163.7M	$466.1M	-6.9%
FY 2023	$3.88B	11.7%	-3%	-$171.2M	$308.5M	20.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TPC)

✓Walkthrough of TPC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.95%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $81.25H $82.55L $79.82C $79.82VOL 349.0K

RES: $104.5SUP: $74.45SMA50: $84.28SMA200: $81.56

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TPC Butterfly Map → + Track TPC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

38.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +28.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #240 of 1011 ⚔️ ZDAI vs TPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TPC vs. ZDAI, VSEC, TNL, RHI)

Industry: General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs (2 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #299 by equity capitalization ($4.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNL leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while TNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.7% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. RHI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with TPC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TPC ACTIVE Tutor Perini Corporation	C	65/100	53.9x	11.7%	20.9%	-3.31%	$4.34B	Benchmark Subject
ZDAI DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	-21.5%	—	-12.50%	$10.7M	/zdai-vs-tpc →
VSEC VSE Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	4.3%	-4.64%	$4.35B	/vsec-vs-tpc →
TNL Travel Leisure Co.	C+	69/100	18.7x	93.2%	21.7%	+0.25%	$4.31B	/tnl-vs-tpc →
RHI Robert Half Inc.	B	73/100	32.9x	37.2%	4.1%	+2.17%	$4.38B	/rhi-vs-tpc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000077543

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) reported GAAP revenue of $5.54B (+28.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.33B , and +42.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $80.4M, operating cash flow of $748.1M, and free cash flow of $567.2M (+21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPC closed FY2025 with $5.16B in total assets against $392.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.54B	$80.4M	$748.1M	$567.2M	$5.16B	$392.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.33B	-$163.7M	$503.5M	$466.1M	$4.24B	$510.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.88B	-$171.2M	$308.5M	$308.5M	—	—

3. TPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TPC compare to ZDAI and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPC?

Where is TPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPC last traded at $79.82 (-3.31% on volume of 311,689 shares), positioning the stock -5.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($84.28) and -2.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($81.56). Across its 52-week range of $57.90 to $102.30, TPC sits at the 49.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($73.91 to $85.73).

TPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TPC converted $5.5B of revenue into a 11.7% gross margin, 4.2% operating margin, and $567.2M in free cash flow (10.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TPC RQD Cockpit TPC 12M Forecast TPC Earnings & Move TPC Dividends & DRIP TPC Insiders & 13F TPC Whale Options TPC Profit Sankey TPC News & Why