Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TPC

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Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$82.55 +1.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.99

Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (12% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $4.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.99 (+0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TPC SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.2% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$83.36-6.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$77.65-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$76.86+7.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B$82.55+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, TPC faces multiple-compression risk if 53.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($84.45) or 200D SMA ($81.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($88.12) toward Bear Floor ($67.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

45.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.11>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE56% OF RANGE

L: $58$82.55H: $102

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (12% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on TPC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

20.9% ROIC with 11.7% gross margin and 13.07% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.11 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (77)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TPC

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TPC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.16%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $79.57H $82.55L $78.77C $82.55VOL 311.6K

RES: $104.5SUP: $75.04SMA50: $84.45SMA200: $81.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TPC Butterfly Map → + Track TPC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

38.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +28.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #107 of 1011 ⚔️ ZDAI vs TPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TPC vs. ZDAI, VSEC, TNL, RHI)

Industry: General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs (2 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #299 by equity capitalization ($4.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNL leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while TNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.7% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. TPC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TPC ACTIVE Tutor Perini Corporation	B	73/100	53.9x	11.7%	20.9%	+1.60%	$4.34B	Benchmark Subject
ZDAI DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)	D	44/100	—	-21.5%	—	+2.40%	$10.7M	/zdai-vs-tpc →
VSEC VSE Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	4.3%	+6.10%	$4.35B	/vsec-vs-tpc →
TNL Travel Leisure Co.	C+	69/100	18.7x	93.2%	21.7%	+4.55%	$4.31B	/tnl-vs-tpc →
RHI Robert Half Inc.	B	73/100	32.9x	37.2%	4.1%	+2.22%	$4.38B	/rhi-vs-tpc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000077543

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) reported GAAP revenue of $5.54B (+28.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.33B , and +42.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $80.4M, operating cash flow of $748.1M, and free cash flow of $567.2M (+21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPC closed FY2025 with $5.16B in total assets against $392.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.54B	$80.4M	$748.1M	$567.2M	$5.16B	$392.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.33B	-$163.7M	$503.5M	$466.1M	$4.24B	$510.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.88B	-$171.2M	$308.5M	$308.5M	—	—

3. TPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tutor Perini Corporation (NYSE: TPC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $82.55 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $4.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPC ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TPC compare to ZDAI and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs), TPC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 53.9x, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, ZDAI (DirectBooking Technology Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.7M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNL leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while TNL leads on capital efficiency (21.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPC?

Per TPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000077543), Tutor Perini Corporation generated $5.54B in revenue (+28.1% YoY), $80.4M in net income, and $567.2M in free cash flow against $5.16B in total assets and $392.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 54x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPC last traded at $82.55 (+1.60% on volume of 349,040 shares), positioning the stock -2.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($84.45) and +1.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($81.53). Across its 52-week range of $57.90 to $102.30, TPC sits at the 55.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($76.36 to $88.74).

TPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TPC stock right now?

Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (12% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is TPC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TPC's 12-month base price target is $88.12 (range $67.69 to $107.42), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TPC RQD Cockpit TPC 12M Forecast TPC Earnings & Move TPC Dividends & DRIP TPC Insiders & 13F TPC Whale Options TPC Profit Sankey TPC News & Why