Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TNMG / options

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TNL Mediagene (TNMG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.05 +0.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.05

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.05 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TNMG SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$3.76-16.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$3.15+3.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$3.25-6.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$3.05+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TNMG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, TNMG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.68) or 200D SMA ($9.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.08) toward Bear Floor ($2.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TNMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TNMG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TNMG.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TNMG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TNMG
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

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TNMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.86%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $4.15H $5.05L $3.05C $3.05VOL 60.97M

RES: $7.08SUP: $2.62SMA50: $3.68SMA200: $9.68

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TNMG Butterfly Map → + Track TNMG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNMG)

Communication Services Rank #38 of 132 ⚔️ FCDH vs TNMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TNMG vs. FCDH, HAO, YDKG, INUV)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TNL Mediagene (TNMG) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #130 by equity capitalization ($2.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNMG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while YDKG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and -2.5% gross margin. TNMG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TNMG ACTIVE TNL Mediagene	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.99%	$2.3M	Benchmark Subject
FCDH Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	23.7%	-35.0%	-3.27%	$3.1M	/fcdh-vs-tnmg →
HAO Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	96.0%	—	+0.99%	$1.3M	/hao-vs-tnmg →
YDKG Yueda Digital Holding Class A Ordinary Share	D+	52/100	—	-2.5%	-11.5%	0.00%	$5.1M	/ydkg-vs-tnmg →
INUV Inuvo Inc.	D-	35/100	—	74.5%	-35.0%	-3.53%	$7.2M	/inuv-vs-tnmg →

2. TNMG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) operates in Advertising (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $2.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TNMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ: TNMG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $3.05 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $2.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TNMG ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNMG compare to FCDH and HAO in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TNMG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FCDH (Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.1M) and HAO (Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNMG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while YDKG leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?

For TNL Mediagene (TNMG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #38 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNMG last traded at $3.05 (+0.99% on volume of 4,619 shares), positioning the stock -17.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.68) and -68.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.68). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $92.80, TNMG sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.67 to $3.43).

TNMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TNMG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TNMG.

Direct Sub-Reports: TNMG RQD Cockpit TNMG 12M Forecast TNMG Earnings & Move TNMG Dividends & DRIP TNMG Insiders & 13F TNMG Whale Options TNMG Profit Sankey TNMG News & Why