Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TNMG / forecast

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TNL Mediagene (TNMG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.05 +0.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.05

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TNMG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ: TNMG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $3.05 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $2.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TNMG ranks #73 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TNMG compare to FCDH and HAO in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TNMG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FCDH (Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.1M) and HAO (Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNMG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while YDKG leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?

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For TNL Mediagene (TNMG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #73 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.05 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TNMG SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($65.0K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$3.66-20.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$2.92+7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$3.13-2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$3.05-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TNMG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TNMG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.67) and Max Pain ($3.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $97.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TNMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TNMG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.05: 3278.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.25

$7,377

$-2,623 (-26.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.89

$9,475

$-525 (-5.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $97.44

$319,475

+$309,475 (+3094.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$3	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$92	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$3	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TNMG)

✓Walkthrough of TNMG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TNMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.05%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $3.02H $3.05L $3.02C $3.05VOL 4.6K

RES: $7.08SUP: $2.63SMA50: $3.67SMA200: $9.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TNMG Butterfly Map → + Track TNMG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNMG)

Communication Services Rank #73 of 132 ⚔️ FCDH vs TNMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TNMG vs. FCDH, HAO, YDKG, INUV)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TNL Mediagene (TNMG) ranks #73 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #130 by equity capitalization ($2.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNMG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while YDKG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and -2.5% gross margin. YDKG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with TNMG at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TNMG ACTIVE TNL Mediagene	D	46/100	—	—	—	+0.99%	$2.3M	Benchmark Subject
FCDH Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)	E	26/100	—	23.7%	-35.0%	-3.27%	$3.1M	/fcdh-vs-tnmg →
HAO Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	96.0%	—	+0.99%	$1.3M	/hao-vs-tnmg →
YDKG Yueda Digital Holding Class A Ordinary Share	D	50/100	—	-2.5%	-11.5%	0.00%	$5.1M	/ydkg-vs-tnmg →
INUV Inuvo Inc.	E	26/100	—	74.5%	-35.0%	-3.53%	$7.2M	/inuv-vs-tnmg →

2. TNMG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) operates in Advertising (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $2.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TNMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TNMG compare to FCDH and HAO in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?

Where is TNMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNMG last traded at $3.05 (+0.99% on volume of 4,619 shares), positioning the stock -16.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.67) and -68.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $92.80, TNMG sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.67 to $3.43).

TNMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TNMG's 12-month stock price target?

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.89 (-5.2% from $3.05), with a bull-case target of $97.44 and a bear-case floor of $2.25.

Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TNMG D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 46/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TNMG RQD Cockpit TNMG 12M Forecast TNMG Earnings & Move TNMG Dividends & DRIP TNMG Insiders & 13F TNMG Whale Options TNMG Profit Sankey TNMG News & Why