Why TNMG Stock advanced +0.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$3.05 +0.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.05

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.05 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target
$97 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TNMG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TNMG SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$3.76-16.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$3.15+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$3.25-6.2% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$3.05+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TNMG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, TNMG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.68) or 200D SMA ($9.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.08) toward Bear Floor ($2.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TNMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TNMG Stock advanced +0.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) advanced +0.99% to $3.05, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $92.8). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $92.8) with RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $64953 annual free cash flow.
Live TNMG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREChartMill • 2d ago
Top Stock Gainers and Losers in Today's Session

Today's top movers include CHOW up 107.0% and JDZG down 54.09%, with double-digit swings across small-cap gainers and sharp declines among larger and smaller companies.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TNMG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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TNMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.86%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.15H $5.05L $3.05C $3.05VOL 60.97M
RES: $7.08SUP: $2.62SMA50: $3.68SMA200: $9.68
$42.57$31.70$20.83$9.96$-0.91RES $7.08SUP $2.62$3.052026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNMG)

Communication Services Rank #38 of 132 ⚔️ FCDH vs TNMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TNMG vs. FCDH, HAO, YDKG, INUV)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TNL Mediagene (TNMG) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #130 by equity capitalization ($2.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNMG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while YDKG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and -2.5% gross margin. TNMG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TNMG ACTIVE
TNL Mediagene
C- 60/100 — — — +0.99% $2.3M Benchmark Subject
FCDH
Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)
D- 38/100 — 23.7% -35.0% -3.27% $3.1M /fcdh-vs-tnmg →
HAO
Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)
D- 41/100 — 96.0% — +0.99% $1.3M /hao-vs-tnmg →
YDKG
Yueda Digital Holding Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 52/100 — -2.5% -11.5% 0.00% $5.1M /ydkg-vs-tnmg →
INUV
Inuvo Inc.
D- 35/100 — 74.5% -35.0% -3.53% $7.2M /inuv-vs-tnmg →

2. TNMG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) operates in Advertising (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $2.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TNMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ: TNMG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $3.05 (+0.99% 1D, market cap $2.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TNMG ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNMG compare to FCDH and HAO in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TNMG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FCDH (Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.1M) and HAO (Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNMG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while YDKG leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?

For TNL Mediagene (TNMG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #38 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNMG last traded at $3.05 (+0.99% on volume of 4,619 shares), positioning the stock -17.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.68) and -68.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.68). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $92.80, TNMG sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.67 to $3.43).

TNMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TNMG stock moving today?

Why TNMG Stock advanced +0.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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