Stock Ratings / Materials / TMQ / earnings

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Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.1% Move

Q: Where is TMQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TMQ last traded at $2.31 (-0.86% on volume of 1,187,992 shares), positioning the stock -23.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.01) and -39.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.94 to $7.25, TMQ sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($2.05 to $2.57).

Q: When is TMQ's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 29, 2026.

Q: How much is TMQ stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.1% event move for TMQ, spanning a range between $2.05 and $2.57.

$2.31 -0.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30

Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $418.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TMQ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TMQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Trilogy Metals Inc. (NYSE: TMQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.31 (-0.86% 1D, market cap $418.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TMQ ranks #206 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TMQ compare to CMCL and ITRG in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TMQ carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -34.0%. By comparison, CMCL (Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $413.8M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $454.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMQ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMQ leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMQ?

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Per TMQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001543418), Trilogy Metals Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$42.2M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $157.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30 (-0.34%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TMQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TMQ SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$2.80-15.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.36-12.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.06+12.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.31-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TMQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TMQ currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.01) and Max Pain ($2.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TMQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TMQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 29, 2026 (~27 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.1% Swing Band

±$0.26 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TMQ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 43/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (43/100)Model Risk Weight (57/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-11-30	$0	-$42.2M	-$3.2M	52%
FY 2024	2024-11-30	$0	-$8.6M	-$1.8M	52%
FY 2023	2023-11-30	$0	-$15.0M	-$3.1M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TMQ)

✓Walkthrough of TMQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TMQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.74%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.12H $2.31L $2.11C $2.31VOL 1.85M

RES: $3.09SUP: $1.89SMA50: $3.01SMA200: $3.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TMQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TMQ Butterfly Map → + Track TMQ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TMQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMQ)

Materials Rank #206 of 270 ⚔️ CMCL vs TMQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TMQ vs. CMCL, ITRG, NAK, VGZ)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) ranks #206 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #182 by equity capitalization ($418.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMQ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and — gross margin. NAK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with TMQ at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TMQ ACTIVE Trilogy Metals Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-34.0%	-0.86%	$418.9M	Benchmark Subject
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.70%	$413.8M	/cmcl-vs-tmq →
ITRG Integra Resources Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.18%	$454.4M	/itrg-vs-tmq →
NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.	D+	55/100	—	—	—	-4.67%	$464.9M	/nak-vs-tmq →
VGZ Vista Gold Corp	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.44%	$376.6M	/vgz-vs-tmq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0001543418

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$42.2M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$3.2M (-77.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMQ closed FY2025 with $157.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-11-30	$0	-$42.2M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	$157.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-11-30	$0	-$8.6M	-$1.8M	-$1.8M	$133.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-11-30	$0	-$15.0M	-$3.1M	-$3.1M	—	—

3. TMQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TMQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TMQ compare to CMCL and ITRG in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMQ?

Where is TMQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TMQ last traded at $2.31 (-0.86% on volume of 1,187,992 shares), positioning the stock -23.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.01) and -39.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.94 to $7.25, TMQ sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($2.05 to $2.57).

TMQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TMQ's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 29, 2026.

How much is TMQ stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.1% event move for TMQ, spanning a range between $2.05 and $2.57.

Direct Sub-Reports: TMQ RQD Cockpit TMQ 12M Forecast TMQ Earnings & Move TMQ Dividends & DRIP TMQ Insiders & 13F TMQ Whale Options TMQ Profit Sankey TMQ News & Why