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Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.85 -3.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.73

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $496.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.73 (-0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CTGO SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.6% FCF Margin ($25.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$16.73-8.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$15.25-5.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$14.45+2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$14.85+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CTGO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, CTGO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.49) or 200D SMA ($20.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.98) toward Bear Floor ($11.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CTGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CTGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

33.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE

L: $13$14.85H: $34

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CTGO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

85.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.18% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CTGO

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CTGO Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CTGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.29%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $14.01H $14.85L $13.45C $14.85VOL 494.7K

RES: $16.97SUP: $15.56SMA50: $17.49SMA200: $20.69

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CTGO Butterfly Map → + Track CTGO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTGO)

Materials Rank #61 of 270 ⚔️ NAK vs CTGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CTGO vs. NAK, ITRG, GORO, TMQ)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) ranks #61 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #174 by equity capitalization ($496.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CTGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CTGO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CTGO ACTIVE Contango Silver & Gold Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	85.0%	-3.32%	$496.6M	Benchmark Subject
NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.	D+	55/100	—	—	—	-4.67%	$464.9M	/nak-vs-ctgo →
ITRG Integra Resources Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.18%	$454.4M	/itrg-vs-ctgo →
GORO Goldgroup Mining Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-1.20%	$554.4M	/goro-vs-ctgo →
TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-34.0%	-0.86%	$418.9M	/tmq-vs-ctgo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001502377

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$36.1M, operating cash flow of $25.7M, and free cash flow of $25.7M (+3581.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTGO closed FY2025 with $172.0M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$36.1M	$25.7M	$25.7M	$172.0M	$29.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$38.0M	$699.0K	$699.0K	$133.9M	$26.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$59.1M	-$13.6M	-$13.6M	—	—

3. CTGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (NYSE: CTGO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $14.85 (-3.32% 1D, market cap $496.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CTGO ranks #61 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CTGO compare to NAK and ITRG in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CTGO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NAK (Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $464.9M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $454.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTGO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTGO?

Per CTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001502377), Contango Silver & Gold Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$36.1M in net income, and $25.7M in free cash flow against $172.0M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CTGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTGO last traded at $14.85 (-3.32% on volume of 267,721 shares), positioning the stock -15.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.49) and -28.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.69). Across its 52-week range of $13.45 to $34.38, CTGO sits at the 6.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($13.42 to $16.28).

CTGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CTGO stock right now?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (85% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CTGO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CTGO's 12-month base price target is $14.98 (range $11.68 to $36.1), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CTGO RQD Cockpit CTGO 12M Forecast CTGO Earnings & Move CTGO Dividends & DRIP CTGO Insiders & 13F CTGO Whale Options CTGO Profit Sankey CTGO News & Why