Stock Ratings / Energy / TMDE / financials

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TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.58 +1.43% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.58

TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $13.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.58 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TMDE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TMDE SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$0.63-9.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$0.57+7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$0.61-4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$0.58+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TMDE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, TMDE faces multiple-compression risk if 7.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.67) or 200D SMA ($0.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.61) toward Bear Floor ($0.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TMDE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TMDE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2024 (10-K)

How TMDE Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $633.1M

FY24

Rev $688.6M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2024	$688.6M	2.3%	0.9%	$1.9M	-$28.0M	95%
FY 2023	$633.1M	8%	0.4%	$2.0M	$654.2K	85%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TMDE)

✓Walkthrough of TMDE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TMDE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.60%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $0.58H $0.70L $0.58C $0.58VOL 148.2K

RES: $0.69SUP: $0.50SMA50: $0.67SMA200: $0.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TMDE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TMDE Butterfly Map → + Track TMDE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-7.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMDE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMDE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TMDE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMDE)

Energy Rank #53 of 211 ⚔️ UFG vs TMDE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TMDE vs. UFG, BANL, DLXY, PTLE)

Industry: Oil Refining/Marketing (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #203 by equity capitalization ($13.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMDE leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while TMDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 2.3% gross margin. TMDE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TMDE ACTIVE TMD Energy Limited (Class A)	C+	68/100	7.3x	2.3%	85.0%	+1.43%	$13.7M	Benchmark Subject
UFG Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	1.8%	-35.0%	-3.97%	$10.3M	/ufg-vs-tmde →
BANL CBL International Limited (Class B)	D-	40/100	—	0.8%	-18.2%	-13.98%	$10.0M	/banl-vs-tmde →
DLXY Delixy Holdings Limited (Class A)	E	32/100	—	0.8%	-35.0%	-4.32%	$5.1M	/dlxy-vs-tmde →
PTLE PTL LTD (Class A)	E	33/100	—	1.3%	-3.9%	+1.48%	$60.4M	/ptle-vs-tmde →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2024)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2024-12-31 • CIK 0002009714

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31), TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) reported GAAP revenue of $688.6M (+8.8% vs. FY2023 revenue of $633.1M ) , GAAP net income of $1.9M, operating cash flow of -$24.3M, and free cash flow of -$28.0M (-4386.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMDE closed FY2024 with $110.1M in total assets against $504.3K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.55, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$688.6M	$1.9M	-$24.3M	-$28.0M	$110.1M	$504.3K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$633.1M	$2.0M	$654.2K	$654.2K	—	—

3. TMDE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TMDE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (NYSE: TMDE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $0.58 (+1.43% 1D, market cap $13.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TMDE ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TMDE compare to UFG and BANL in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil Refining/Marketing), TMDE carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of 2.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, UFG (Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.3M) and BANL (CBL International Limited (Class B)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.2%, cap $10.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMDE leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TMDE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMDE?

Per TMDE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31, CIK 0002009714), TMD Energy Limited (Class A) generated $688.6M in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $1.9M in net income, and -$28.0M in free cash flow against $110.1M in total assets and $504.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TMDE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TMDE last traded at $0.58 (+1.43% on volume of 18,750 shares), positioning the stock -13.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.67) and -38.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.95). Across its 52-week range of $0.41 to $4.77, TMDE sits at the 3.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.65).