TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.58 +1.43% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $13.7M
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.2% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TMDE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.07 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.58$0.65 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TMDE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $0.14 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.8%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20242024-12-31$688.6M$1.9M-$28.0M2.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$633.1M$2.0M$654.2K8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TMDE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TMDE
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TMDE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.60%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.58H $0.70L $0.58C $0.58VOL 148.2K
RES: $0.69SUP: $0.50SMA50: $0.67SMA200: $0.95
$1.66$1.36$1.05$0.74$0.43RES $0.69SUP $0.50$0.582026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TMDE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-7.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMDE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMDE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TMDE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMDE)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TMDE vs. UFG, BANL, DLXY, PTLE)

Industry: Oil Refining/Marketing (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #203 by equity capitalization ($13.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMDE leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while TMDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 2.3% gross margin. TMDE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TMDE ACTIVE
TMD Energy Limited (Class A)
C+ 68/100 7.3x 2.3% 85.0% +1.43% $13.7M Benchmark Subject
UFG
Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 1.8% -35.0% -3.97% $10.3M /ufg-vs-tmde →
BANL
CBL International Limited (Class B)
D- 40/100 — 0.8% -18.2% -13.98% $10.0M /banl-vs-tmde →
DLXY
Delixy Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 32/100 — 0.8% -35.0% -4.32% $5.1M /dlxy-vs-tmde →
PTLE
PTL LTD (Class A)
E 33/100 — 1.3% -3.9% +1.48% $60.4M /ptle-vs-tmde →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2024)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2024-12-31 • CIK 0002009714

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31), TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE) reported GAAP revenue of $688.6M (+8.8% vs. FY2023 revenue of $633.1M ) , GAAP net income of $1.9M, operating cash flow of -$24.3M, and free cash flow of -$28.0M (-4386.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMDE closed FY2024 with $110.1M in total assets against $504.3K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.55, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $688.6M $1.9M -$24.3M -$28.0M $110.1M $504.3K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $633.1M $2.0M $654.2K $654.2K — —

3. TMDE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TMDE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (NYSE: TMDE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $0.58 (+1.43% 1D, market cap $13.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TMDE ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TMDE compare to UFG and BANL in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil Refining/Marketing), TMDE carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of 2.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, UFG (Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.3M) and BANL (CBL International Limited (Class B)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.2%, cap $10.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMDE leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TMDE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMDE?

Per TMDE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31, CIK 0002009714), TMD Energy Limited (Class A) generated $688.6M in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $1.9M in net income, and -$28.0M in free cash flow against $110.1M in total assets and $504.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TMDE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TMDE last traded at $0.58 (+1.43% on volume of 18,750 shares), positioning the stock -13.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.67) and -38.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.95). Across its 52-week range of $0.41 to $4.77, TMDE sits at the 3.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.65).

TMDE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TMDE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, TMD Energy Limited (Class A) (TMDE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is TMDE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for TMDE, spanning a range between $1 and $0.65.

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