TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $2.84 (+1.43% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TMC ranks #194 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TMC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B) and CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
Per TMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798562), TMC the metals company Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$319.8M in net income, and -$43.1M in free cash flow against $181.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While TMC currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.69) and Max Pain ($2.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.55.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) advanced +1.43% to $2.84, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($2.34 – $10.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Freeport-McMoRan, MP Materials, TMC The Metals Company, and USA Rare Earth are all potential answers to a lack of U.S.-produced critical minerals.
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TMC the metals (NasdaqGS:TMC) just released its NORI Area D prefeasibility study, highlighting that refining capital costs dominate project economics and that these costs matter more than nodule grade for commercial viab
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Key TakeawaysUSA Rare Earth rose 13% today in a broad critical minerals rally that also lifted Critical Metals 12%, TMC 11%, and lithium producers SQM and Albemarle [6%] each. USA Rare Earth had no news of its own, so th
Could The Metals Company be on the verge of a massive bull run?
Stewards Investment Capital, BioVie, FreeCast and American Fusion Headline a Four-Region Broadcast Across the U., Latin America, MENA and Southeast AsiaNEW YORK CITY, NY / ACCESS Newswire / October 24, 2026 / Where capit
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) ranks #194 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CRML currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with TMC at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMC
ACTIVE
TMC the metals company Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.43% | $1.25B | Benchmark Subject |
| IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +8.01% | $1.26B | /imc-vs-tmc → |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | C | 63/100 | — | — | — | +2.05% | $1.18B | /crml-vs-tmc → |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 65.3% | -35.0% | -4.64% | $1.34B | /ie-vs-tmc → |
| USAS Americas Gold and Silver Corporation no par value | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -4.06% | $1.04B | /usas-vs-tmc → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$319.8M, operating cash flow of -$42.9M, and free cash flow of -$43.1M (+2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMC closed FY2025 with $181.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$319.8M | -$42.9M | -$43.1M | $181.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$81.9M | -$43.5M | -$44.0M | $63.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$73.8M | -$59.6M | -$59.6M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $2.84 (+1.43% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TMC ranks #194 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TMC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B) and CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
Per TMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798562), TMC the metals company Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$319.8M in net income, and -$43.1M in free cash flow against $181.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TMC last traded at $2.84 (+1.43% on volume of 5,248,023 shares), positioning the stock -23.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -42.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.90). Across its 52-week range of $2.34 to $10.05, TMC sits at the 6.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.49 to $3.19).
Why TMC Stock advanced +1.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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