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TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.84 +1.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.25B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TMC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.84: 3521.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.08

$7,324

$-2,676 (-26.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.67

$9,401

$-599 (-6.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.55

$37,148

+$27,148 (+271.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$3	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$10	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TMC)

✓Walkthrough of TMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.80%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.72H $2.84L $2.52C $2.84VOL 3.55M

RES: $4.47SUP: $2.27SMA50: $3.69SMA200: $4.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TMC Butterfly Map → + Track TMC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMC)

Materials Rank #194 of 270 ⚔️ IMC vs TMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TMC vs. IMC, CRML, IE, USAS)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) ranks #194 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CRML currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with TMC at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TMC ACTIVE TMC the metals company Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.43%	$1.25B	Benchmark Subject
IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+8.01%	$1.26B	/imc-vs-tmc →
CRML Critical Metals Corp.	C	63/100	—	—	—	+2.05%	$1.18B	/crml-vs-tmc →
IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc.	D-	37/100	—	65.3%	-35.0%	-4.64%	$1.34B	/ie-vs-tmc →
USAS Americas Gold and Silver Corporation no par value	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-4.06%	$1.04B	/usas-vs-tmc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001798562

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$319.8M, operating cash flow of -$42.9M, and free cash flow of -$43.1M (+2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMC closed FY2025 with $181.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$319.8M	-$42.9M	-$43.1M	$181.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$81.9M	-$43.5M	-$44.0M	$63.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$73.8M	-$59.6M	-$59.6M	—	—

3. TMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $2.84 (+1.43% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TMC ranks #194 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TMC compare to IMC and CRML in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TMC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B) and CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMC?

Per TMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798562), TMC the metals company Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$319.8M in net income, and -$43.1M in free cash flow against $181.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TMC last traded at $2.84 (+1.43% on volume of 5,248,023 shares), positioning the stock -23.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -42.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.90). Across its 52-week range of $2.34 to $10.05, TMC sits at the 6.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.49 to $3.19).

TMC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TMC's 12-month stock price target?

TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.67 (-6% from $2.84), with a bull-case target of $10.55 and a bear-case floor of $2.08.

Is TMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TMC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 45/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TMC RQD Cockpit TMC 12M Forecast TMC Earnings & Move TMC Dividends & DRIP TMC Insiders & 13F TMC Whale Options TMC Profit Sankey TMC News & Why