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Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.2% Move

$31.33 -1.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.21

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.10B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.20 (-0.40%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TBN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TBN SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$34.02-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$31.33-3.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$30.30+3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$31.33-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TBN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TBN currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.20) and Max Pain ($32.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $54.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TBN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TBN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.2% Swing Band

±$3.51 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TBN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$0	-$36.9M	-$29.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$0	-$21.9M	-$11.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TBN)

✓Walkthrough of TBN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TBN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.21%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $30.78H $31.47L $30.54C $31.33VOL 283.9K

RES: $43.14SUP: $27.00SMA50: $35.20SMA200: $33.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TBN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TBN Butterfly Map → + Track TBN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TBN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TBN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TBN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TBN)

Energy Rank #169 of 211 ⚔️ REPX vs TBN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TBN vs. REPX, SBR, BORR, INR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) ranks #169 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #136 by equity capitalization ($1.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with TBN at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TBN ACTIVE Tamboran Resources Corporation	D	45/100	—	—	-10.1%	-1.14%	$1.10B	Benchmark Subject
REPX Riley Exploration Permian Inc.	C+	68/100	7.2x	—	12.2%	-0.02%	$1.15B	/repx-vs-tbn →
SBR Sabine Royalty Trust	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.54%	$1.04B	/sbr-vs-tbn →
BORR Borr Drilling Limited	D+	53/100	27.8x	—	8.9%	-7.52%	$1.25B	/borr-vs-tbn →
INR Infinity Natural Resources Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	66.6x	—	3.1%	-0.14%	$921.5M	/inr-vs-tbn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001997652

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$36.9M, operating cash flow of -$29.6M, and free cash flow of -$29.6M (-160.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TBN closed FY2025 with $600.6M in total assets against $32.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.45, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$0	-$36.9M	-$29.6M	-$29.6M	$600.6M	$32.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$0	-$21.9M	-$11.4M	-$11.4M	$362.9M	$0

3. TBN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TBN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tamboran Resources Corporation (NYSE: TBN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $31.33 (-1.14% 1D, market cap $1.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TBN ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TBN compare to REPX and SBR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), TBN carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.1%. By comparison, REPX (Riley Exploration Permian Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.15B) and SBR (Sabine Royalty Trust) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBN?

Per TBN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001997652), Tamboran Resources Corporation generated $0 in revenue, -$36.9M in net income, and -$29.6M in free cash flow against $600.6M in total assets and $32.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TBN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TBN last traded at $31.33 (-1.14% on volume of 181,682 shares), positioning the stock -10.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.20) and -7.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($33.92). Across its 52-week range of $22.34 to $52.21, TBN sits at the 30.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($27.82 to $34.84).

TBN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TBN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is TBN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.2% event move for TBN, spanning a range between $27.82 and $34.84.

Direct Sub-Reports: TBN RQD Cockpit TBN 12M Forecast TBN Earnings & Move TBN Dividends & DRIP TBN Insiders & 13F TBN Whale Options TBN Profit Sankey TBN News & Why