CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Why Are Investors Paying Less For Hayward's Profit?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why SWIM Stock surged +2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.26 +2.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.29
Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $854.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.29 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWIM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SWIM SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 5.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$6.04+1.3% Next Q
52
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$6.12+8.5% Next Q
55
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$6.64+9.3% Next Q
57
CurrentGrade C-$7.26+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SWIM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, SWIM faces multiple-compression risk if 76.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.53) or 200D SMA ($6.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.33) toward Bear Floor ($5.72).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWIM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SWIM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SWIM Stock surged +2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) surged +2.98% to $7.26, trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($4.64 – $8.97). Solid 33% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 77x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($4.64 – $8.97) with RSI-14 at 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $7.26 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 33.4% gross margin and $38.0M annual free cash flow.
Live SWIM Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Latham Group, Inc. to Participate at Conferences in November and December 2026LATHAM, N.Y., Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Latham Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SWIM), the largest designer, manufacturer, and marketer of in-ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia, and New Zealand, tod
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Analysts Estimate Owens Corning (OC) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out forOwens Corning (OC) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Latham Group (SWIM) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings GrowthLatham Group (SWIM) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SWIM Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SWIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.60%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $7.26H $7.42L $7.19C $7.26VOL 928.1K
RES: $6.83SUP: $5.46SMA50: $6.53SMA200: $6.17
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SWIM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWIM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWIM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWIM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWIM)
Industrials Rank #167 of 485
⚔️ KRT vs SWIM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SWIM vs. KRT, MYE, NWL, CMT)
Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) ranks #167 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #266 by equity capitalization ($854.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SWIM at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWIM
ACTIVE
Latham Group Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 76.8x | 33.4% | 3.5% | +2.98% | $854.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| KRT Karat Packaging Inc. | B | 74/100 | 34.4x | 36.8% | 29.3% | +1.85% | $1.08B | /krt-vs-swim → |
| MYE Myers Industries Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 32.7x | 33.4% | 10.4% | -5.62% | $1.14B | /mye-vs-swim → |
| NWL Newell Brands Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | 33.8% | 0.5% | -2.49% | $2.16B | /nwl-vs-swim → |
| CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc | C- | 60/100 | 17.8x | 17.4% | 8.2% | +1.49% | $199.3M | /cmt-vs-swim → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001833197In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) reported GAAP revenue of $545.9M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $508.5M , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.1M, operating cash flow of $63.4M, and free cash flow of $38.0M (-7.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWIM closed FY2025 with $823.2M in total assets against $276.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $545.9M | $11.1M | $63.4M | $38.0M | $823.2M | $276.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $508.5M | -$17.9M | $61.3M | $41.2M | $794.2M | $278.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $566.5M | -$2.4M | $116.4M | $116.4M | — | — |
3. SWIM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SWIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Latham Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SWIM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $7.26 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $854.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SWIM ranks #167 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SWIM compare to KRT and MYE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), SWIM carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B) and MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWIM?
Per SWIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833197), Latham Group Inc. generated $545.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $11.1M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $823.2M in total assets and $276.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SWIM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SWIM last traded at $7.26 (+2.98% on volume of 1,107,249 shares), positioning the stock +11.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.53) and +17.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.17). Across its 52-week range of $4.64 to $8.97, SWIM sits at the 60.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.69 to $7.83).
SWIM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SWIM stock moving today?
Why SWIM Stock surged +2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 33% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 77x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.