Stock Ratings / Industrials / SWIM / financials

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Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$7.26 +2.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.29

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $854.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.29 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWIM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SWIM SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$6.04+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$6.12+8.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$6.64+9.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$7.26+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SWIM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, SWIM faces multiple-compression risk if 76.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.53) or 200D SMA ($6.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.33) toward Bear Floor ($5.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWIM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SWIM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SWIM Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$38.0M (7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $566.5M

FY24

Rev $508.5M

FY25

Rev $545.9M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$545.9M	33.4%	5.6%	$11.1M	$38.0M	3.5%
FY 2024	$508.5M	30.2%	3.6%	-$17.9M	$41.2M	2.2%
FY 2023	$566.5M	33.4%	2.8%	-$2.4M	$116.4M	3.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SWIM)

✓Walkthrough of SWIM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SWIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.60%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $7.26H $7.42L $7.19C $7.26VOL 928.1K

RES: $6.83SUP: $5.46SMA50: $6.53SMA200: $6.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SWIM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SWIM Butterfly Map → + Track SWIM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWIM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWIM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWIM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWIM)

Industrials Rank #167 of 485 ⚔️ KRT vs SWIM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SWIM vs. KRT, MYE, NWL, CMT)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) ranks #167 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #266 by equity capitalization ($854.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SWIM at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SWIM ACTIVE Latham Group Inc.	C-	60/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+2.98%	$854.1M	Benchmark Subject
KRT Karat Packaging Inc.	B	74/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	+1.85%	$1.08B	/krt-vs-swim →
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	59/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-5.62%	$1.14B	/mye-vs-swim →
NWL Newell Brands Inc.	D-	39/100	—	33.8%	0.5%	-2.49%	$2.16B	/nwl-vs-swim →
CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc	C-	60/100	17.8x	17.4%	8.2%	+1.49%	$199.3M	/cmt-vs-swim →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001833197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) reported GAAP revenue of $545.9M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $508.5M , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.1M, operating cash flow of $63.4M, and free cash flow of $38.0M (-7.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWIM closed FY2025 with $823.2M in total assets against $276.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$545.9M	$11.1M	$63.4M	$38.0M	$823.2M	$276.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$508.5M	-$17.9M	$61.3M	$41.2M	$794.2M	$278.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$566.5M	-$2.4M	$116.4M	$116.4M	—	—

3. SWIM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SWIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Latham Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SWIM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $7.26 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $854.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SWIM ranks #167 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SWIM compare to KRT and MYE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), SWIM carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B) and MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWIM?

Per SWIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833197), Latham Group Inc. generated $545.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $11.1M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $823.2M in total assets and $276.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SWIM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SWIM last traded at $7.26 (+2.98% on volume of 1,107,249 shares), positioning the stock +11.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.53) and +17.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.17). Across its 52-week range of $4.64 to $8.97, SWIM sits at the 60.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.69 to $7.83).

SWIM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Latham Group Inc. (SWIM)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SWIM converted $545.9M of revenue into a 33.4% gross margin, 5.6% operating margin, and $38.0M in free cash flow (7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: SWIM RQD Cockpit SWIM 12M Forecast SWIM Earnings & Move SWIM Dividends & DRIP SWIM Insiders & 13F SWIM Whale Options SWIM Profit Sankey SWIM News & Why