Stock Ratings / Industrials / SWIM / earnings

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Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.9% Move

$7.26 +2.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.29

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $854.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.29 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWIM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SWIM SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$6.04+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$6.12+8.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$6.64+9.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$7.26+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SWIM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, SWIM faces multiple-compression risk if 76.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.53) or 200D SMA ($6.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.33) toward Bear Floor ($5.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWIM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SWIM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.9% Swing Band

±$0.57 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SWIM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 60/100

Trailing EPS: $0.09 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.4%

Model Bullish Setup (60/100)Model Risk Weight (40/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$545.9M	$11.1M	$38.0M	33.4%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$508.5M	-$17.9M	$41.2M	30.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$566.5M	-$2.4M	$116.4M	33.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SWIM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SWIM
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SWIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.60%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $7.26H $7.42L $7.19C $7.26VOL 928.1K

RES: $6.83SUP: $5.46SMA50: $6.53SMA200: $6.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SWIM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SWIM Butterfly Map → + Track SWIM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWIM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWIM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWIM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWIM)

Industrials Rank #167 of 485 ⚔️ KRT vs SWIM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SWIM vs. KRT, MYE, NWL, CMT)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) ranks #167 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #266 by equity capitalization ($854.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SWIM at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SWIM ACTIVE Latham Group Inc.	C-	60/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+2.98%	$854.1M	Benchmark Subject
KRT Karat Packaging Inc.	B	74/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	+1.85%	$1.08B	/krt-vs-swim →
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	59/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-5.62%	$1.14B	/mye-vs-swim →
NWL Newell Brands Inc.	D-	39/100	—	33.8%	0.5%	-2.49%	$2.16B	/nwl-vs-swim →
CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc	C-	60/100	17.8x	17.4%	8.2%	+1.49%	$199.3M	/cmt-vs-swim →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001833197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) reported GAAP revenue of $545.9M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $508.5M , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.1M, operating cash flow of $63.4M, and free cash flow of $38.0M (-7.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWIM closed FY2025 with $823.2M in total assets against $276.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$545.9M	$11.1M	$63.4M	$38.0M	$823.2M	$276.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$508.5M	-$17.9M	$61.3M	$41.2M	$794.2M	$278.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$566.5M	-$2.4M	$116.4M	$116.4M	—	—

3. SWIM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SWIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Latham Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SWIM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $7.26 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $854.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SWIM ranks #167 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SWIM compare to KRT and MYE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), SWIM carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B) and MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWIM?

Per SWIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833197), Latham Group Inc. generated $545.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $11.1M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $823.2M in total assets and $276.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SWIM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SWIM last traded at $7.26 (+2.98% on volume of 1,107,249 shares), positioning the stock +11.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.53) and +17.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.17). Across its 52-week range of $4.64 to $8.97, SWIM sits at the 60.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.69 to $7.83).

SWIM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SWIM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Latham Group Inc. (SWIM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SWIM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.9% event move for SWIM, spanning a range between $6.69 and $7.83.

Direct Sub-Reports: SWIM RQD Cockpit SWIM 12M Forecast SWIM Earnings & Move SWIM Dividends & DRIP SWIM Insiders & 13F SWIM Whale Options SWIM Profit Sankey SWIM News & Why