Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / STRT / financials

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STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$64.38 +0.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.33

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $256.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.33 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STRT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$63.73-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$60.58+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$61.01+5.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$64.38+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, STRT faces multiple-compression risk if 12.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.43) or 200D SMA ($76.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($66.99) toward Bear Floor ($52.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How STRT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$39.0M (6.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $492.9M

FY24

Rev $565.1M

FY25

Rev $579.4M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$579.4M	16.5%	4.6%	$20.6M	$39.0M	15.2%
FY 2024	$565.1M	15%	4%	$18.7M	$64.5M	11.1%
FY 2023	$492.9M	16.5%	-1.2%	-$6.7M	$10.1M	15.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STRT)

✓Walkthrough of STRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

STRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $65.62H $67.63L $61.56C $64.38VOL 138.0K

RES: $106.7SUP: $58.33SMA50: $67.43SMA200: $76.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STRT Butterfly Map → + Track STRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

3.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #243 of 1011 ⚔️ HLLY vs STRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STRT vs. HLLY, MPAA, CPS, SRI)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) ranks #243 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #664 by equity capitalization ($256.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. STRT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STRT ACTIVE STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION	C+	67/100	12.5x	16.5%	15.2%	+0.63%	$256.6M	Benchmark Subject
HLLY Holley Inc.	D+	55/100	16.8x	43.4%	7.0%	+0.76%	$322.5M	/hlly-vs-strt →
MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc.	C	64/100	16.3x	20.2%	21.6%	-3.29%	$195.0M	/mpaa-vs-strt →
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.	D	49/100	—	11.9%	85.0%	-1.70%	$369.8M	/cps-vs-strt →
SRI Stoneridge Inc.	D+	55/100	—	19.9%	-24.1%	+0.83%	$174.0M	/sri-vs-strt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0000933034

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) reported GAAP revenue of $579.4M (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $565.1M , and +17.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.6M, operating cash flow of $46.3M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-39.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRT closed FY2025 with $392.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-28	$579.4M	$20.6M	$46.3M	$39.0M	$392.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-29	$565.1M	$18.7M	$71.7M	$64.5M	$355.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-07-02	$492.9M	-$6.7M	$10.1M	$10.1M	—	—

3. STRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (NASDAQ: STRT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $64.38 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $256.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRT ranks #243 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRT compare to HLLY and MPAA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), STRT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 16.5%, and ROIC of 15.2%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $322.5M) and MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $195.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRT?

Per STRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0000933034), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION generated $579.4M in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $20.6M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $392.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRT last traded at $64.38 (+0.63% on volume of 57,454 shares), positioning the stock -4.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.43) and -16.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.91). Across its 52-week range of $57.01 to $93.00, STRT sits at the 20.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($60.00 to $68.76).

STRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), STRT converted $579.4M of revenue into a 16.5% gross margin, 4.6% operating margin, and $39.0M in free cash flow (6.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: STRT RQD Cockpit STRT 12M Forecast STRT Earnings & Move STRT Dividends & DRIP STRT Insiders & 13F STRT Whale Options STRT Profit Sankey STRT News & Why