Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / STRT / earnings

HLLY (55) MPAA (64) CPS (49) SRI (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.8% Move

$64.38 +0.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.33

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $256.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.33 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STRT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$63.73-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$60.58+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$61.01+5.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$64.38+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, STRT faces multiple-compression risk if 12.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.43) or 200D SMA ($76.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($66.99) toward Bear Floor ($52.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.8% Swing Band

±$4.38 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

STRT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $5.17 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.5%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-06-28	$579.4M	$20.6M	$39.0M	16.5%
FY 2024	2025-06-29	$565.1M	$18.7M	$64.5M	15%
FY 2023	2023-07-02	$492.9M	-$6.7M	$10.1M	16.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating STRT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on STRT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

STRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $65.62H $67.63L $61.56C $64.38VOL 138.0K

RES: $106.7SUP: $58.33SMA50: $67.43SMA200: $76.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STRT Butterfly Map → + Track STRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

3.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #243 of 1011 ⚔️ HLLY vs STRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STRT vs. HLLY, MPAA, CPS, SRI)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) ranks #243 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #664 by equity capitalization ($256.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. STRT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STRT ACTIVE STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION	C+	67/100	12.5x	16.5%	15.2%	+0.63%	$256.6M	Benchmark Subject
HLLY Holley Inc.	D+	55/100	16.8x	43.4%	7.0%	+0.76%	$322.5M	/hlly-vs-strt →
MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc.	C	64/100	16.3x	20.2%	21.6%	-3.29%	$195.0M	/mpaa-vs-strt →
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.	D	49/100	—	11.9%	85.0%	-1.70%	$369.8M	/cps-vs-strt →
SRI Stoneridge Inc.	D+	55/100	—	19.9%	-24.1%	+0.83%	$174.0M	/sri-vs-strt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0000933034

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) reported GAAP revenue of $579.4M (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $565.1M , and +17.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.6M, operating cash flow of $46.3M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-39.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRT closed FY2025 with $392.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-28	$579.4M	$20.6M	$46.3M	$39.0M	$392.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-29	$565.1M	$18.7M	$71.7M	$64.5M	$355.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-07-02	$492.9M	-$6.7M	$10.1M	$10.1M	—	—

3. STRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (NASDAQ: STRT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $64.38 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $256.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRT ranks #243 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRT compare to HLLY and MPAA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), STRT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 16.5%, and ROIC of 15.2%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $322.5M) and MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $195.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRT?

Per STRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0000933034), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION generated $579.4M in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $20.6M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $392.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRT last traded at $64.38 (+0.63% on volume of 57,454 shares), positioning the stock -4.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.43) and -16.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.91). Across its 52-week range of $57.01 to $93.00, STRT sits at the 20.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($60.00 to $68.76).

STRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is STRT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is STRT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.8% event move for STRT, spanning a range between $60 and $68.76.

Direct Sub-Reports: STRT RQD Cockpit STRT 12M Forecast STRT Earnings & Move STRT Dividends & DRIP STRT Insiders & 13F STRT Whale Options STRT Profit Sankey STRT News & Why