MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why STG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.44 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.44
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $32.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.44 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STG SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 0.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$2.68-4.9% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$2.55-4.7% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$2.43+0.4% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D$2.44-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STG Turnaround Squeeze
While STG currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.76) and Max Pain ($2.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.33.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why STG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) slipped 0.00% to $2.44, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($2.18 – $6.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (80% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($2.18 – $6.98) with RSI-14 at 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $2.44 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 86.9% gross margin and $21.0M annual free cash flow.
Live STG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STG)
- ✓Walkthrough of STG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.22%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $2.30H $2.44L $2.30C $2.44VOL 900
RES: $2.29SUP: $2.10SMA50: $2.76SMA200: $3.60
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
STG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STG)
Real Estate Rank #29 of 51
⚔️ YOUL vs STG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STG vs. YOUL, YQ, AACG, FEDU)
Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #35 by equity capitalization ($32.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with STG at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STG
ACTIVE
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | 86.9% | 80.4% | 0.00% | $32.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| YOUL Youlife Group Inc. | D | 47/100 | 5.9x | 10.4% | 0.9% | -10.41% | $36.3M | /youl-vs-stg → |
| YQ 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | 47.7% | -35.0% | -9.15% | $29.1M | /yq-vs-stg → |
| AACG ATA Creativity Global | D- | 35/100 | — | 48.6% | -35.0% | -1.51% | $44.5M | /aacg-vs-stg → |
| FEDU Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10 | D+ | 57/100 | 5.2x | 25.8% | — | -10.40% | $23.3M | /fedu-vs-stg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001723935In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) reported GAAP revenue of $288.8M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $272.7M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STG closed FY2025 with $292.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $288.8M | $52.3M | $21.0M | $21.0M | $292.8M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $272.7M | $46.9M | $26.8M | $26.8M | $290.6M | $4.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $304.2M | $90.3M | $19.8M | $19.8M | — | — |
3. STG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.44 (0.00% 1D, market cap $32.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.
How does STG compare to YOUL and YQ in the Real Estate sector?
Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?
Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
STG last traded at $2.44 (0.00% on volume of 1,230 shares), positioning the stock -11.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.76) and -32.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($2.27 to $2.61).
STG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is STG stock moving today?
Why STG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (80% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.