Stock Ratings / Real Estate / STG / earnings

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Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.1% Move

Q: Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.44 (0.00% 1D, market cap $32.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does STG compare to YOUL and YQ in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STG last traded at $2.44 (0.00% on volume of 1,230 shares), positioning the stock -11.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.76) and -32.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($2.27 to $2.61).

Q: When is STG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is STG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.1% event move for STG, spanning a range between $2.27 and $2.61.

$2.44 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.44

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $32.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.44 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STG SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.68-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.55-4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.43+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.44-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STG currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.76) and Max Pain ($2.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.1% Swing Band

±$0.17 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

STG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.9%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$288.8M	$52.3M	$21.0M	86.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$272.7M	$46.9M	$26.8M	84%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$304.2M	$90.3M	$19.8M	86.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STG)

✓Walkthrough of STG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.22%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $2.30H $2.44L $2.30C $2.44VOL 900

RES: $2.29SUP: $2.10SMA50: $2.76SMA200: $3.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STG Butterfly Map → + Track STG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STG)

Real Estate Rank #29 of 51 ⚔️ YOUL vs STG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STG vs. YOUL, YQ, AACG, FEDU)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #35 by equity capitalization ($32.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with STG at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STG ACTIVE Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)	D	51/100	—	86.9%	80.4%	0.00%	$32.7M	Benchmark Subject
YOUL Youlife Group Inc.	D	47/100	5.9x	10.4%	0.9%	-10.41%	$36.3M	/youl-vs-stg →
YQ 17 Education & Technology Group Inc.	D	44/100	—	47.7%	-35.0%	-9.15%	$29.1M	/yq-vs-stg →
AACG ATA Creativity Global	D-	35/100	—	48.6%	-35.0%	-1.51%	$44.5M	/aacg-vs-stg →
FEDU Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10	D+	57/100	5.2x	25.8%	—	-10.40%	$23.3M	/fedu-vs-stg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001723935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) reported GAAP revenue of $288.8M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $272.7M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STG closed FY2025 with $292.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$288.8M	$52.3M	$21.0M	$21.0M	$292.8M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$272.7M	$46.9M	$26.8M	$26.8M	$290.6M	$4.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$304.2M	$90.3M	$19.8M	$19.8M	—	—

3. STG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.44 (0.00% 1D, market cap $32.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STG compare to YOUL and YQ in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STG last traded at $2.44 (0.00% on volume of 1,230 shares), positioning the stock -11.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.76) and -32.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($2.27 to $2.61).

STG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is STG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is STG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.1% event move for STG, spanning a range between $2.27 and $2.61.

Direct Sub-Reports: STG RQD Cockpit STG 12M Forecast STG Earnings & Move STG Dividends & DRIP STG Insiders & 13F STG Whale Options STG Profit Sankey STG News & Why