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Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.44 (0.00% 1D, market cap $32.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does STG compare to YOUL and YQ in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STG last traded at $2.44 (0.00% on volume of 1,230 shares), positioning the stock -11.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.76) and -32.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($2.27 to $2.61).

Q: How profitable is Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), STG converted $288.8M of revenue into a 86.9% gross margin, 18.6% operating margin, and $21.0M in free cash flow (7.3% FCF margin).

$2.44 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.44

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $32.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.44 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STG SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.68-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.55-4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.43+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.44-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STG currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.76) and Max Pain ($2.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How STG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$21.0M (7.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $304.2M

FY24

Rev $272.7M

FY25

Rev $288.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$288.8M	86.9%	18.6%	$52.3M	$21.0M	80.4%
FY 2024	$272.7M	84%	15%	$46.9M	$26.8M	95%
FY 2023	$304.2M	86.9%	26.6%	$90.3M	$19.8M	80.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STG)

✓Walkthrough of STG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.22%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $2.30H $2.44L $2.30C $2.44VOL 900

RES: $2.29SUP: $2.10SMA50: $2.76SMA200: $3.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STG Butterfly Map → + Track STG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STG)

Real Estate Rank #29 of 51 ⚔️ YOUL vs STG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STG vs. YOUL, YQ, AACG, FEDU)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #35 by equity capitalization ($32.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with STG at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STG ACTIVE Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)	D	51/100	—	86.9%	80.4%	0.00%	$32.7M	Benchmark Subject
YOUL Youlife Group Inc.	D	47/100	5.9x	10.4%	0.9%	-10.41%	$36.3M	/youl-vs-stg →
YQ 17 Education & Technology Group Inc.	D	44/100	—	47.7%	-35.0%	-9.15%	$29.1M	/yq-vs-stg →
AACG ATA Creativity Global	D-	35/100	—	48.6%	-35.0%	-1.51%	$44.5M	/aacg-vs-stg →
FEDU Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10	D+	57/100	5.2x	25.8%	—	-10.40%	$23.3M	/fedu-vs-stg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001723935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) reported GAAP revenue of $288.8M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $272.7M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STG closed FY2025 with $292.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$288.8M	$52.3M	$21.0M	$21.0M	$292.8M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$272.7M	$46.9M	$26.8M	$26.8M	$290.6M	$4.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$304.2M	$90.3M	$19.8M	$19.8M	—	—

3. STG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.44 (0.00% 1D, market cap $32.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STG compare to YOUL and YQ in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STG last traded at $2.44 (0.00% on volume of 1,230 shares), positioning the stock -11.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.76) and -32.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.60). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($2.27 to $2.61).

STG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), STG converted $288.8M of revenue into a 86.9% gross margin, 18.6% operating margin, and $21.0M in free cash flow (7.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: STG RQD Cockpit STG 12M Forecast STG Earnings & Move STG Dividends & DRIP STG Insiders & 13F STG Whale Options STG Profit Sankey STG News & Why