Stock Ratings / Health Care / SNDA / options

HCSG (73) ARDT (69) MD (76) BKD (31) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$34.30 +0.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.24

Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.65B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SNDA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SNDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (NYSE: SNDA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $34.30 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $1.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SNDA ranks #798 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SNDA compare to HCSG and ARDT in the Health Care sector?

▼

Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), SNDA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HCSG (Healthcare Services Group Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 28.2x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $1.66B) and ARDT (Ardent Health Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $1.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDA?

▼

Per SNDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043000), Sonida Senior Living Inc. generated $381.1M in revenue (+25.2% YoY), -$72.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $844.8M in total assets and $682.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.25 (-0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SNDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SNDA SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (39% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$36.15-5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$34.03-1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$33.54+2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$34.30-9.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SNDA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SNDA currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.98) and Max Pain ($36.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SNDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SNDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SNDA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SNDA.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SNDA)

✓Walkthrough of SNDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SNDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.31%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $33.60H $34.30L $33.60C $34.30VOL 392.7K

RES: $46.86SUP: $32.04SMA50: $36.98SMA200: $36.43

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SNDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SNDA Butterfly Map → + Track SNDA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SNDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SNDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SNDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SNDA)

Health Care Rank #798 of 1016 ⚔️ HCSG vs SNDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SNDA vs. HCSG, ARDT, MD, BKD)

Industry: Hospital/Nursing Management (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) ranks #798 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #295 by equity capitalization ($1.65B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARDT leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while MD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with SNDA at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SNDA ACTIVE Sonida Senior Living Inc.	E	31/100	—	—	—	+0.15%	$1.65B	Benchmark Subject
HCSG Healthcare Services Group Inc.	B	73/100	28.2x	13.0%	11.6%	-0.65%	$1.66B	/hcsg-vs-snda →
ARDT Ardent Health Inc.	C+	69/100	12.8x	—	10.5%	-2.19%	$1.73B	/ardt-vs-snda →
MD Pediatrix Medical Group Inc.	B+	76/100	14.3x	—	33.6%	+2.19%	$2.37B	/md-vs-snda →
BKD Brookdale Senior Living Inc.	E	31/100	—	26.2%	0.3%	+1.17%	$2.45B	/bkd-vs-snda →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043000

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) reported GAAP revenue of $381.1M (+25.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $304.3M , and +49.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$72.5M, operating cash flow of $24.4M, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (+66.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SNDA closed FY2025 with $844.8M in total assets against $682.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$381.1M	-$72.5M	$24.4M	-$8.9M	$844.8M	$682.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$304.3M	-$3.3M	-$1.8M	-$27.0M	$841.9M	$635.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$255.3M	-$21.1M	$10.7M	$10.7M	—	—

3. SNDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SNDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SNDA compare to HCSG and ARDT in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDA?

Where is SNDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SNDA last traded at $34.30 (+0.15% on volume of 466,449 shares), positioning the stock -7.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($36.98) and -5.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.43). Across its 52-week range of $24.95 to $44.39, SNDA sits at the 48.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($31.90 to $36.70).

SNDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SNDA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SNDA.

Direct Sub-Reports: SNDA RQD Cockpit SNDA 12M Forecast SNDA Earnings & Move SNDA Dividends & DRIP SNDA Insiders & 13F SNDA Whale Options SNDA Profit Sankey SNDA News & Why