MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why SNDA Stock advanced +1.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$34.25 +1.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.30
Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.65B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.30 (+0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SNDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SNDA SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (29% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$35.24+0.1% Next Q
53
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$35.29-4.2% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$33.82+1.3% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$34.25-6.3% Hist 90D α
45
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SNDA Turnaround Squeeze
While SNDA currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.09) and Max Pain ($35.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.61.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SNDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SNDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SNDA Stock advanced +1.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) advanced +1.94% to $34.25, trading at 48% of its 52-week range ($24.95 – $44.39). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 48% of its 52-week range ($24.95 – $44.39) with RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $34.25 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SNDA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SNDA)
- ✓Walkthrough of SNDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SNDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $34.42H $34.91L $34.11C $34.25VOL 466.4K
RES: $46.81SUP: $32.18SMA50: $37.09SMA200: $36.42
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SNDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +25.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SNDA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SNDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SNDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SNDA)
Health Care Rank #474 of 1016
⚔️ HCSG vs SNDA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SNDA vs. HCSG, ARDT, MD, BKD)
Industry: Hospital/Nursing Management (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) ranks #474 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #295 by equity capitalization ($1.65B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARDT leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while MD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SNDA at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNDA
ACTIVE
Sonida Senior Living Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +1.94% | $1.65B | Benchmark Subject |
| HCSG Healthcare Services Group Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 28.2x | 13.0% | 11.6% | +2.58% | $1.66B | /hcsg-vs-snda → |
| ARDT Ardent Health Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 12.8x | — | 10.5% | +3.10% | $1.73B | /ardt-vs-snda → |
| MD Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. | B | 74/100 | 14.3x | — | 33.6% | +0.93% | $2.37B | /md-vs-snda → |
| BKD Brookdale Senior Living Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 26.2% | 0.3% | +2.91% | $2.45B | /bkd-vs-snda → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043000In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) reported GAAP revenue of $381.1M (+25.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $304.3M , and +49.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$72.5M, operating cash flow of $24.4M, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (+66.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SNDA closed FY2025 with $844.8M in total assets against $682.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $381.1M | -$72.5M | $24.4M | -$8.9M | $844.8M | $682.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $304.3M | -$3.3M | -$1.8M | -$27.0M | $841.9M | $635.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $255.3M | -$21.1M | $10.7M | $10.7M | — | — |
3. SNDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SNDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (NYSE: SNDA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $34.25 (+1.94% 1D, market cap $1.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SNDA ranks #474 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SNDA compare to HCSG and ARDT in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), SNDA carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HCSG (Healthcare Services Group Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 28.2x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $1.66B) and ARDT (Ardent Health Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $1.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDA?
Per SNDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043000), Sonida Senior Living Inc. generated $381.1M in revenue (+25.2% YoY), -$72.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $844.8M in total assets and $682.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SNDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SNDA last traded at $34.25 (+1.94% on volume of 392,678 shares), positioning the stock -7.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.09) and -5.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.42). Across its 52-week range of $24.95 to $44.39, SNDA sits at the 47.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($31.78 to $36.72).
SNDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SNDA stock moving today?
Why SNDA Stock advanced +1.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.