Stock Ratings / Health Care / SNDA / earnings

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Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.2% Move

$34.25 +1.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.30

Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.65B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SNDA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SNDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (NYSE: SNDA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $34.25 (+1.94% 1D, market cap $1.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SNDA ranks #474 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SNDA compare to HCSG and ARDT in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), SNDA carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HCSG (Healthcare Services Group Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 28.2x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $1.66B) and ARDT (Ardent Health Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $1.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDA?

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Per SNDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043000), Sonida Senior Living Inc. generated $381.1M in revenue (+25.2% YoY), -$72.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $844.8M in total assets and $682.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.30 (+0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SNDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SNDA SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$35.24+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$35.29-4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$33.82+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$34.25-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SNDA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SNDA currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.09) and Max Pain ($35.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SNDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SNDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.2% Swing Band

±$2.47 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SNDA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 25.2%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$381.1M	-$72.5M	-$8.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$304.3M	-$3.3M	-$27.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$255.3M	-$21.1M	$10.7M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SNDA)

✓Walkthrough of SNDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SNDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $34.42H $34.91L $34.11C $34.25VOL 466.4K

RES: $46.81SUP: $32.18SMA50: $37.09SMA200: $36.42

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SNDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SNDA Butterfly Map → + Track SNDA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SNDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SNDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SNDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SNDA)

Health Care Rank #474 of 1016 ⚔️ HCSG vs SNDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SNDA vs. HCSG, ARDT, MD, BKD)

Industry: Hospital/Nursing Management (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) ranks #474 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #295 by equity capitalization ($1.65B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARDT leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while MD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SNDA at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SNDA ACTIVE Sonida Senior Living Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	—	+1.94%	$1.65B	Benchmark Subject
HCSG Healthcare Services Group Inc.	B-	70/100	28.2x	13.0%	11.6%	+2.58%	$1.66B	/hcsg-vs-snda →
ARDT Ardent Health Inc.	C+	67/100	12.8x	—	10.5%	+3.10%	$1.73B	/ardt-vs-snda →
MD Pediatrix Medical Group Inc.	B	74/100	14.3x	—	33.6%	+0.93%	$2.37B	/md-vs-snda →
BKD Brookdale Senior Living Inc.	D	46/100	—	26.2%	0.3%	+2.91%	$2.45B	/bkd-vs-snda →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043000

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) reported GAAP revenue of $381.1M (+25.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $304.3M , and +49.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$72.5M, operating cash flow of $24.4M, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (+66.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SNDA closed FY2025 with $844.8M in total assets against $682.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$381.1M	-$72.5M	$24.4M	-$8.9M	$844.8M	$682.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$304.3M	-$3.3M	-$1.8M	-$27.0M	$841.9M	$635.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$255.3M	-$21.1M	$10.7M	$10.7M	—	—

3. SNDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SNDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SNDA compare to HCSG and ARDT in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDA?

Where is SNDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SNDA last traded at $34.25 (+1.94% on volume of 392,678 shares), positioning the stock -7.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.09) and -5.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.42). Across its 52-week range of $24.95 to $44.39, SNDA sits at the 47.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($31.78 to $36.72).

SNDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SNDA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SNDA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.2% event move for SNDA, spanning a range between $31.78 and $36.72.

Direct Sub-Reports: SNDA RQD Cockpit SNDA 12M Forecast SNDA Earnings & Move SNDA Dividends & DRIP SNDA Insiders & 13F SNDA Whale Options SNDA Profit Sankey SNDA News & Why