Stock Ratings / Materials / SLVM / forecast

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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$32.32 +1.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.47

Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.29B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.48 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SLVM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SLVM SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8% FCF Margin ($268.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$32.65+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$32.77-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$32.54-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B$32.32+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SLVM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, SLVM faces multiple-compression risk if 9.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.23) or 200D SMA ($40.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.50) toward Bear Floor ($26.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SLVM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SLVM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SLVM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $32.32: 309.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $26.50

$8,199

$-1,801 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $34.50

$10,675

+$675 (+6.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $59.64

$18,453

+$8,453 (+84.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$36	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$56	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$31	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SLVM Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SLVM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.36%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $32.71H $33.11L $31.95C $32.32VOL 418.9K

RES: $38.41SUP: $28.47SMA50: $34.23SMA200: $40.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SLVM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SLVM Butterfly Map → + Track SLVM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -11.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SLVM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SLVM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SLVM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SLVM)

Materials Rank #9 of 270 ⚔️ MATV vs SLVM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SLVM vs. MATV, RYAM, MAGN, CLW)

Industry: Paper (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #124 by equity capitalization ($1.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLVM leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while SLVM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SLVM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SLVM ACTIVE Sylvamo Corporation	B	73/100	9.7x	—	20.5%	+1.32%	$1.29B	Benchmark Subject
MATV Mativ Holdings Inc.	D	45/100	—	18.3%	-21.2%	-0.97%	$620.9M	/matv-vs-slvm →
RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.	D	47/100	—	8.1%	1.3%	-0.74%	$452.5M	/ryam-vs-slvm →
MAGN Magnera Corporation	D	48/100	—	10.5%	0.1%	+2.20%	$432.5M	/magn-vs-slvm →
CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation	D-	39/100	—	7.4%	-2.9%	-1.29%	$209.5M	/clw-vs-slvm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001856485

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) reported GAAP revenue of $3.35B (-11.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.77B , and -9.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $132.0M, operating cash flow of $268.0M, and free cash flow of $268.0M (-42.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SLVM closed FY2025 with $2.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.35B	$132.0M	$268.0M	$268.0M	$2.76B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.77B	$302.0M	$469.0M	$469.0M	$2.60B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.72B	$253.0M	$504.0M	$504.0M	—	—

3. SLVM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SLVM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sylvamo Corporation (NYSE: SLVM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $32.32 (+1.32% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SLVM ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SLVM compare to MATV and RYAM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Paper), SLVM carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.5%. By comparison, MATV (Mativ Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.2%, cap $620.9M) and RYAM (Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $452.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLVM leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SLVM leads on capital efficiency (20.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SLVM?

Per SLVM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001856485), Sylvamo Corporation generated $3.35B in revenue (-11.2% YoY), $132.0M in net income, and $268.0M in free cash flow against $2.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SLVM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SLVM last traded at $32.32 (+1.32% on volume of 270,404 shares), positioning the stock -5.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.23) and -19.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.08). Across its 52-week range of $30.40 to $56.80, SLVM sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($29.51 to $35.13).

SLVM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SLVM's 12-month stock price target?

Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $34.5 (+6.7% from $32.32), with a bull-case target of $59.64 and a bear-case floor of $26.5.

Is SLVM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SLVM B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 73/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: SLVM RQD Cockpit SLVM 12M Forecast SLVM Earnings & Move SLVM Dividends & DRIP SLVM Insiders & 13F SLVM Whale Options SLVM Profit Sankey SLVM News & Why