MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Here's Why Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) Fell More Than Broader MarketStar Bulk Carriers (SBLK) closed the most recent trading day at $28.36, moving 1.83% from the previous trading session.
Why SBLK Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$28.89 +0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85
Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $3.22B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85 (-0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 20.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBLK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SBLK SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$29.70-6.4% Next Q
69
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$27.79+4.3% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$28.98-0.3% Next Q
64
CurrentGrade C-$28.89+0.5% Hist 90D α
61
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SBLK Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, SBLK faces multiple-compression risk if 38.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.10) or 200D SMA ($26.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.28) toward Bear Floor ($22.84).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBLK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SBLK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SBLK Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) advanced +0.24% to $28.89, trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($17.76 – $32.88). Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 38x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($17.76 – $32.88) with RSI-14 at 41 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $28.89 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $211.9M annual free cash flow.
Live SBLK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Is Most-Watched Stock Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) Worth Betting on Now?Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Is EDRY Stock Worth Buying, Riding on the Dry Bulk Market Strength?EuroDry benefits from surging dry bulk rates, rising earnings and fleet expansion plans, but oversupply risks and mounting debt make buying the stock a concern.
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
ECO Trades at a Premium Valuation: Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock?ECO's 75% stock rally, modern fleet and hefty dividends are appealing, but premium valuation and geopolitical risks raise questions about buying now.
CATALYSTYahoo • 9d ago
SBLK Stock Outperforms Industry in 6 Months: Time to Buy or Hold Now?Star Bulk Carriers' shares surge more than 18% in six months, beating industry peers. Strong dividends and fleet upgrades support growth, but risks warrant caution.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to ConsiderIn the most recent trading session, Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) closed at $28.82, indicating a +2.6% shift from the previous trading day.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Black Sea Grain Routes Could Lift Genco Shipping Stock And Dry Bulk PeersGrain routes in the Black Sea rarely hit the headlines, yet today they sit at the center of a story that touches food prices, inflation, and the cost of moving bulk cargo across oceans. A possible revival of the export c
CATALYSTChartMill • 12d ago
Star Bulk Carriers (NASDAQ:SBLK): A High-Yield Dividend Stock With Quality Trade-OffsChartMill’s Best Dividend screen balances high yield with profitability and health, using Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) as a case study.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SBLK Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SBLK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.96%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $28.62H $28.89L $28.17C $28.89VOL 570.0K
RES: $35.43SUP: $27.85SMA50: $30.10SMA200: $26.54
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SBLK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBLK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBLK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBLK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBLK)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #380 of 1011
⚔️ TNK vs SBLK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SBLK vs. TNK, ZIM, DAC, ECO)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) ranks #380 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #348 by equity capitalization ($3.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. ECO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with SBLK at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBLK
ACTIVE
Star Bulk Carriers Corp. | C- | 61/100 | 38.3x | — | 5.5% | +0.24% | $3.22B | Benchmark Subject |
| TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. | B- | 71/100 | — | 66.7% | 20.1% | +1.95% | $3.51B | /tnk-vs-sblk → |
| ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.42% | $3.52B | /zim-vs-sblk → |
| DAC Danaos Corporation | C | 65/100 | 5.8x | — | 10.9% | +0.05% | $2.89B | /dac-vs-sblk → |
| ECO Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. | B | 73/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +2.62% | $3.97B | /eco-vs-sblk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001386716In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (-17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.27B , and +9.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $84.2M, operating cash flow of $295.9M, and free cash flow of $211.9M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBLK closed FY2025 with $3.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.71, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.04B | $84.2M | $295.9M | $211.9M | $3.81B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.27B | $304.7M | $471.2M | $416.1M | $4.09B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $949.3M | $173.6M | $335.8M | $335.8M | — | — |
3. SBLK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SBLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ: SBLK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $28.89 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $3.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SBLK ranks #380 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SBLK compare to TNK and ZIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SBLK carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 20.1%, cap $3.51B) and ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBLK?
Per SBLK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001386716), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. generated $1.04B in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $84.2M in net income, and $211.9M in free cash flow against $3.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SBLK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SBLK last traded at $28.89 (+0.24% on volume of 1,147,878 shares), positioning the stock -4.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.10) and +8.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.54). Across its 52-week range of $17.76 to $32.88, SBLK sits at the 73.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($27.27 to $30.51).
SBLK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SBLK stock moving today?
Why SBLK Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 38x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.