Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SBLK / earnings

TNK (71) ZIM (58) DAC (65) ECO (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.6% Move

$28.89 +0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85 (-0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 20.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBLK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SBLK SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$29.70-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$27.79+4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$28.98-0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$28.89+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SBLK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, SBLK faces multiple-compression risk if 38.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.10) or 200D SMA ($26.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.28) toward Bear Floor ($22.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBLK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SBLK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.6% Swing Band

±$1.62 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SBLK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $0.75 • YoY Revenue Growth: -17.6%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$84.2M	$211.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.27B	$304.7M	$416.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$949.3M	$173.6M	$335.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SBLK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SBLK
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SBLK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.96%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $28.62H $28.89L $28.17C $28.89VOL 570.0K

RES: $35.43SUP: $27.85SMA50: $30.10SMA200: $26.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SBLK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SBLK Butterfly Map → + Track SBLK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBLK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBLK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBLK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBLK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #380 of 1011 ⚔️ TNK vs SBLK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SBLK vs. TNK, ZIM, DAC, ECO)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) ranks #380 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #348 by equity capitalization ($3.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. ECO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with SBLK at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SBLK ACTIVE Star Bulk Carriers Corp.	C-	61/100	38.3x	—	5.5%	+0.24%	$3.22B	Benchmark Subject
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd.	B-	71/100	—	66.7%	20.1%	+1.95%	$3.51B	/tnk-vs-sblk →
ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.42%	$3.52B	/zim-vs-sblk →
DAC Danaos Corporation	C	65/100	5.8x	—	10.9%	+0.05%	$2.89B	/dac-vs-sblk →
ECO Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.	B	73/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.62%	$3.97B	/eco-vs-sblk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001386716

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (-17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.27B , and +9.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $84.2M, operating cash flow of $295.9M, and free cash flow of $211.9M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBLK closed FY2025 with $3.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.71, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$84.2M	$295.9M	$211.9M	$3.81B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.27B	$304.7M	$471.2M	$416.1M	$4.09B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$949.3M	$173.6M	$335.8M	$335.8M	—	—

3. SBLK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SBLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ: SBLK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $28.89 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $3.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SBLK ranks #380 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SBLK compare to TNK and ZIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SBLK carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 20.1%, cap $3.51B) and ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBLK?

Per SBLK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001386716), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. generated $1.04B in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $84.2M in net income, and $211.9M in free cash flow against $3.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SBLK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SBLK last traded at $28.89 (+0.24% on volume of 1,147,878 shares), positioning the stock -4.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.10) and +8.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.54). Across its 52-week range of $17.76 to $32.88, SBLK sits at the 73.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($27.27 to $30.51).

SBLK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SBLK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SBLK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.6% event move for SBLK, spanning a range between $27.27 and $30.51.

Direct Sub-Reports: SBLK RQD Cockpit SBLK 12M Forecast SBLK Earnings & Move SBLK Dividends & DRIP SBLK Insiders & 13F SBLK Whale Options SBLK Profit Sankey SBLK News & Why