Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SBLK / forecast

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Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$28.89 +0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SBLK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SBLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ: SBLK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $28.89 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $3.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SBLK ranks #379 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SBLK compare to TNK and ZIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SBLK carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 20.1%, cap $3.51B) and ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBLK?

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Per SBLK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001386716), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. generated $1.04B in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $84.2M in net income, and $211.9M in free cash flow against $3.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85 (-0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 20.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBLK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SBLK SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$29.84-5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$28.08+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$29.08-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$28.89+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SBLK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, SBLK faces multiple-compression risk if 38.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.07) or 200D SMA ($26.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($28.89) toward Bear Floor ($22.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBLK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SBLK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SBLK Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $28.89: 346.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $22.53

$7,799

$-2,201 (-22.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $28.89

$10,000

+$0 (+0.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $34.52

$11,949

+$1,949 (+19.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$30	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$32	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$26	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SBLK)

✓Walkthrough of SBLK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SBLK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.19%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $28.82H $28.89L $28.82C $28.89VOL 1.15M

RES: $35.40SUP: $27.86SMA50: $30.07SMA200: $26.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SBLK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SBLK Butterfly Map → + Track SBLK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBLK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBLK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBLK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBLK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #379 of 1011 ⚔️ TNK vs SBLK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SBLK vs. TNK, ZIM, DAC, ECO)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) ranks #379 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #348 by equity capitalization ($3.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. TNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SBLK at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SBLK ACTIVE Star Bulk Carriers Corp.	D+	58/100	38.3x	—	5.5%	+0.24%	$3.22B	Benchmark Subject
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd.	B	74/100	—	66.7%	20.1%	+1.95%	$3.51B	/tnk-vs-sblk →
ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-1.42%	$3.52B	/zim-vs-sblk →
DAC Danaos Corporation	B	72/100	5.8x	—	10.9%	+0.05%	$2.89B	/dac-vs-sblk →
ECO Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.	B	73/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.62%	$3.97B	/eco-vs-sblk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001386716

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (-17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.27B , and +9.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $84.2M, operating cash flow of $295.9M, and free cash flow of $211.9M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBLK closed FY2025 with $3.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.71, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$84.2M	$295.9M	$211.9M	$3.81B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.27B	$304.7M	$471.2M	$416.1M	$4.09B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$949.3M	$173.6M	$335.8M	$335.8M	—	—

3. SBLK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SBLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SBLK compare to TNK and ZIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBLK?

Where is SBLK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SBLK last traded at $28.89 (+0.24% on volume of 1,147,878 shares), positioning the stock -3.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.07) and +8.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.58). Across its 52-week range of $17.76 to $32.88, SBLK sits at the 73.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($27.36 to $30.42).

SBLK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SBLK's 12-month stock price target?

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $28.89 (+0% from $28.89), with a bull-case target of $34.52 and a bear-case floor of $22.53.

Is SBLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SBLK D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 58/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: SBLK RQD Cockpit SBLK 12M Forecast SBLK Earnings & Move SBLK Dividends & DRIP SBLK Insiders & 13F SBLK Whale Options SBLK Profit Sankey SBLK News & Why