Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SBLK / financials

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Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$28.89 +0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.85 (-0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 20.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBLK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SBLK SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$29.70-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$27.79+4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$28.98-0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$28.89+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SBLK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, SBLK faces multiple-compression risk if 38.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.10) or 200D SMA ($26.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.28) toward Bear Floor ($22.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBLK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SBLK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SBLK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$211.9M (20.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $949.3M

FY24

Rev $1.27B

FY25

Rev $1.04B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.04B	52%	13.1%	$84.2M	$211.9M	5.5%
FY 2024	$1.27B	52%	30.3%	$304.7M	$416.1M	14.7%
FY 2023	$949.3M	52%	25.1%	$173.6M	$335.8M	5.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SBLK)

✓Walkthrough of SBLK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SBLK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.96%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $28.62H $28.89L $28.17C $28.89VOL 570.0K

RES: $35.43SUP: $27.85SMA50: $30.10SMA200: $26.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SBLK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SBLK Butterfly Map → + Track SBLK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBLK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBLK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBLK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBLK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #380 of 1011 ⚔️ TNK vs SBLK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SBLK vs. TNK, ZIM, DAC, ECO)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) ranks #380 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #348 by equity capitalization ($3.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. ECO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with SBLK at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SBLK ACTIVE Star Bulk Carriers Corp.	C-	61/100	38.3x	—	5.5%	+0.24%	$3.22B	Benchmark Subject
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd.	B-	71/100	—	66.7%	20.1%	+1.95%	$3.51B	/tnk-vs-sblk →
ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.42%	$3.52B	/zim-vs-sblk →
DAC Danaos Corporation	C	65/100	5.8x	—	10.9%	+0.05%	$2.89B	/dac-vs-sblk →
ECO Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.	B	73/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.62%	$3.97B	/eco-vs-sblk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001386716

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (-17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.27B , and +9.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $84.2M, operating cash flow of $295.9M, and free cash flow of $211.9M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBLK closed FY2025 with $3.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.71, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$84.2M	$295.9M	$211.9M	$3.81B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.27B	$304.7M	$471.2M	$416.1M	$4.09B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$949.3M	$173.6M	$335.8M	$335.8M	—	—

3. SBLK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SBLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ: SBLK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $28.89 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $3.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SBLK ranks #380 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SBLK compare to TNK and ZIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SBLK carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 20.1%, cap $3.51B) and ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBLK?

Per SBLK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001386716), Star Bulk Carriers Corp. generated $1.04B in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $84.2M in net income, and $211.9M in free cash flow against $3.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SBLK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SBLK last traded at $28.89 (+0.24% on volume of 1,147,878 shares), positioning the stock -4.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.10) and +8.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.54). Across its 52-week range of $17.76 to $32.88, SBLK sits at the 73.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($27.27 to $30.51).

SBLK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SBLK converted $1.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 13.1% operating margin, and $211.9M in free cash flow (20.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: SBLK RQD Cockpit SBLK 12M Forecast SBLK Earnings & Move SBLK Dividends & DRIP SBLK Insiders & 13F SBLK Whale Options SBLK Profit Sankey SBLK News & Why