Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) slipped -0.92% to $3.23, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($2.88 – $6.97). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Redwood Trustâs RWTQ 9.5% baby bond trades at distressed $20 (16% YTM).
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RWT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RWT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) ranks #1027 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #745 by equity capitalization ($405.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while FPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and — gross margin. XRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with RWT at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RWT
ACTIVE
Redwood Trust Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -7.1% | -0.92% | $405.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| XRN Chiron Real Estate Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | -1.4% | +6.08% | $404.0M | /xrn-vs-rwt → |
| FPI Farmland Partners Inc. | D | 49/100 | 12.2x | — | 5.9% | -13.13% | $384.0M | /fpi-vs-rwt → |
| TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc. | D- | 38/100 | 31.6x | — | -0.6% | +3.00% | $435.7M | /tci-vs-rwt → |
| BRSP BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -3.3% | -3.55% | $440.1M | /brsp-vs-rwt → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$70.0M, operating cash flow of -$10.09B, and free cash flow of -$10.09B (-72.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RWT closed FY2025 with $23.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$70.0M | -$10.09B | -$10.09B | $23.70B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $54.0M | -$5.86B | -$5.86B | $18.26B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$2.3M | -$2.02B | -$2.02B | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Redwood Trust Inc. (NYSE: RWT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $3.23 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $405.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RWT ranks #1027 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RWT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.1%. By comparison, XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.4%, cap $404.0M) and FPI (Farmland Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $384.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).
Per RWT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000930236), Redwood Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$70.0M in net income, and -$10.09B in free cash flow against $23.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
RWT last traded at $3.23 (-0.92% on volume of 2,073,548 shares), positioning the stock -13.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.74) and -35.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.00). Across its 52-week range of $2.88 to $6.97, RWT sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($2.91 to $3.55).
Why RWT Stock slipped -0.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.