Stock Ratings / Financials / RWT / earnings

XRN (56) FPI (49) TCI (38) BRSP (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10% Move

$3.23 -0.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $405.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RWT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10% Swing Band

±$0.32 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RWT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 35/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (35/100)Model Risk Weight (65/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$70.0M	-$10.09B	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$54.0M	-$5.86B	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$2.3M	-$2.02B	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RWT)

✓Walkthrough of RWT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RWT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.91%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $3.23H $3.24L $3.10C $3.23VOL 2.57M

RES: $4.90SUP: $2.48SMA50: $3.74SMA200: $5.00

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RWT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RWT Butterfly Map → + Track RWT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RWT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RWT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RWT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RWT)

Financials Rank #1027 of 1096 ⚔️ XRN vs RWT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RWT vs. XRN, FPI, TCI, BRSP)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) ranks #1027 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #745 by equity capitalization ($405.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while FPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and — gross margin. XRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with RWT at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RWT ACTIVE Redwood Trust Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-7.1%	-0.92%	$405.7M	Benchmark Subject
XRN Chiron Real Estate Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	-1.4%	+6.08%	$404.0M	/xrn-vs-rwt →
FPI Farmland Partners Inc.	D	49/100	12.2x	—	5.9%	-13.13%	$384.0M	/fpi-vs-rwt →
TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.	D-	38/100	31.6x	—	-0.6%	+3.00%	$435.7M	/tci-vs-rwt →
BRSP BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	—	-3.3%	-3.55%	$440.1M	/brsp-vs-rwt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000930236

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$70.0M, operating cash flow of -$10.09B, and free cash flow of -$10.09B (-72.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RWT closed FY2025 with $23.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$70.0M	-$10.09B	-$10.09B	$23.70B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$54.0M	-$5.86B	-$5.86B	$18.26B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$2.3M	-$2.02B	-$2.02B	—	—

3. RWT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RWT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Redwood Trust Inc. (NYSE: RWT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $3.23 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $405.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RWT ranks #1027 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RWT compare to XRN and FPI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RWT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.1%. By comparison, XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.4%, cap $404.0M) and FPI (Farmland Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $384.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RWT?

Per RWT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000930236), Redwood Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$70.0M in net income, and -$10.09B in free cash flow against $23.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RWT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RWT last traded at $3.23 (-0.92% on volume of 2,073,548 shares), positioning the stock -13.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.74) and -35.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.00). Across its 52-week range of $2.88 to $6.97, RWT sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($2.91 to $3.55).

RWT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RWT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RWT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10% event move for RWT, spanning a range between $2.91 and $3.55.

Direct Sub-Reports: RWT RQD Cockpit RWT 12M Forecast RWT Earnings & Move RWT Dividends & DRIP RWT Insiders & 13F RWT Whale Options RWT Profit Sankey RWT News & Why