Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.23 -0.92% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $405.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RWT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RWT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10%
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
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RWT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.91%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $3.23H $3.24L $3.10C $3.23VOL 2.57M
RES: $4.90SUP: $2.48SMA50: $3.74SMA200: $5.00
$6.06$5.20$4.34$3.47$2.61RES $4.90SUP $2.48$3.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RWT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RWT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RWT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RWT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RWT)

Financials Rank #1027 of 1096 βš”οΈ XRN vs RWT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RWT vs. XRN, FPI, TCI, BRSP)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) ranks #1027 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #745 by equity capitalization ($405.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while FPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. XRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with RWT at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RWT ACTIVE
Redwood Trust Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -7.1% -0.92% $405.7M Benchmark Subject
XRN
Chiron Real Estate Inc.
D+ 56/100 β€” β€” -1.4% +6.08% $404.0M /xrn-vs-rwt β†’
FPI
Farmland Partners Inc.
D 49/100 12.2x β€” 5.9% -13.13% $384.0M /fpi-vs-rwt β†’
TCI
Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.
D- 38/100 31.6x β€” -0.6% +3.00% $435.7M /tci-vs-rwt β†’
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 β€” β€” -3.3% -3.55% $440.1M /brsp-vs-rwt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000930236

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$70.0M, operating cash flow of -$10.09B, and free cash flow of -$10.09B (-72.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RWT closed FY2025 with $23.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$70.0M -$10.09B -$10.09B $23.70B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $54.0M -$5.86B -$5.86B $18.26B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$2.3M -$2.02B -$2.02B β€” β€”

3. RWT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RWT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Redwood Trust Inc. (NYSE: RWT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $3.23 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $405.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RWT ranks #1027 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RWT compare to XRN and FPI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RWT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -7.1%. By comparison, XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.4%, cap $404.0M) and FPI (Farmland Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $384.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RWT?

Per RWT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000930236), Redwood Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$70.0M in net income, and -$10.09B in free cash flow against $23.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RWT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RWT last traded at $3.23 (-0.92% on volume of 2,073,548 shares), positioning the stock -13.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.74) and -35.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.00). Across its 52-week range of $2.88 to $6.97, RWT sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.0% ($2.91 to $3.55).

RWT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does RWT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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