Stock Ratings / Materials / ROCK / earnings

SID (57) NWPX (70) SXC (51) MTUS (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.8% Move

$40.33 +5.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.63

Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.20B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ROCK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ROCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Gibraltar Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ROCK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $40.33 (+5.22% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ROCK ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ROCK compare to SID and NWPX in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), ROCK carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, SID (Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.03B) and NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 26.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $944.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROCK?

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Per ROCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000912562), Gibraltar Industries Inc. generated $1.14B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), -$44.4M in net income, and $120.6M in free cash flow against $1.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.63 (+0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 10.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROCK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ROCK SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($120.6M FCF) & 26.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$36.66+3.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$37.89+2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$38.83+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$40.33+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ROCK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, ROCK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 24.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.60) or 200D SMA ($43.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.14) toward Bear Floor ($32.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROCK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ROCK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.8% Swing Band

±$3.95 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ROCK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.14B	-$44.4M	$120.6M	26.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.02B	$137.3M	$156.9M	29.5%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.05B	$110.5M	$218.5M	26.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ROCK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ROCK
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ROCK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.33%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $39.91H $41.75L $39.65C $40.33VOL 307.2K

RES: $60.87SUP: $34.15SMA50: $41.60SMA200: $43.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROCK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ROCK Butterfly Map → + Track ROCK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROCK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROCK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROCK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROCK)

Materials Rank #22 of 270 ⚔️ SID vs ROCK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ROCK vs. SID, NWPX, SXC, MTUS)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #128 by equity capitalization ($1.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWPX leads on earnings valuation at 26.7x trailing P/E, while ROCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. NWPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ROCK at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ROCK ACTIVE Gibraltar Industries Inc.	C+	68/100	—	26.9%	11.6%	+5.22%	$1.20B	Benchmark Subject
SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-3.03%	$1.03B	/sid-vs-rock →
NWPX NWPX Infrastructure Inc.	B-	70/100	26.7x	19.7%	10.0%	-1.68%	$944.4M	/nwpx-vs-rock →
SXC SunCoke Energy Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	-2.9%	+3.76%	$936.2M	/sxc-vs-rock →
MTUS Metallus Inc.	D	46/100	—	8.2%	-0.2%	+1.18%	$887.8M	/mtus-vs-rock →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000912562

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.02B , and +8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.4M, operating cash flow of $167.0M, and free cash flow of $120.6M (-23.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROCK closed FY2025 with $1.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.14B	-$44.4M	$167.0M	$120.6M	$1.39B	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.02B	$137.3M	$174.3M	$156.9M	$1.42B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.05B	$110.5M	$218.5M	$218.5M	—	—

3. ROCK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ROCK compare to SID and NWPX in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROCK?

Where is ROCK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROCK last traded at $40.33 (+5.22% on volume of 234,201 shares), positioning the stock -3.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.60) and -6.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.13). Across its 52-week range of $33.56 to $63.59, ROCK sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($36.38 to $44.28).

ROCK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ROCK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ROCK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.8% event move for ROCK, spanning a range between $36.38 and $44.28.

Direct Sub-Reports: ROCK RQD Cockpit ROCK 12M Forecast ROCK Earnings & Move ROCK Dividends & DRIP ROCK Insiders & 13F ROCK Whale Options ROCK Profit Sankey ROCK News & Why