Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$40.33 +5.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.63

Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.20B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.63 (+0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (18)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$67 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE ROCK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROCK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ROCK SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($120.6M FCF) & 26.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$36.66+3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$37.89+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$38.83+3.9% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$40.33+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ROCK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, ROCK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 24.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.60) or 200D SMA ($43.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.14) toward Bear Floor ($32.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROCK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ROCK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $21,390

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $385/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.6K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.6K
Yr 5
$15.8K
Yr 6
$17.0K
Yr 7
$18.4K
Yr 8
$19.8K
Yr 9
$21.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ROCK & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ROCK and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ROCK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.33%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $39.91H $41.75L $39.65C $40.33VOL 307.2K
RES: $60.87SUP: $34.15SMA50: $41.60SMA200: $43.13
$59.26$52.30$45.33$38.36$31.40RES $60.87SUP $34.15$40.332026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROCK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROCK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROCK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROCK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROCK)

Materials Rank #22 of 270 ⚔️ SID vs ROCK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ROCK vs. SID, NWPX, SXC, MTUS)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #128 by equity capitalization ($1.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWPX leads on earnings valuation at 26.7x trailing P/E, while ROCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. NWPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ROCK at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ROCK ACTIVE
Gibraltar Industries Inc.
C+ 68/100 — 26.9% 11.6% +5.22% $1.20B Benchmark Subject
SID
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.
D+ 57/100 — — — -3.03% $1.03B /sid-vs-rock →
NWPX
NWPX Infrastructure Inc.
B- 70/100 26.7x 19.7% 10.0% -1.68% $944.4M /nwpx-vs-rock →
SXC
SunCoke Energy Inc.
D 51/100 — — -2.9% +3.76% $936.2M /sxc-vs-rock →
MTUS
Metallus Inc.
D 46/100 — 8.2% -0.2% +1.18% $887.8M /mtus-vs-rock →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000912562

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.02B , and +8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.4M, operating cash flow of $167.0M, and free cash flow of $120.6M (-23.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROCK closed FY2025 with $1.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.14B -$44.4M $167.0M $120.6M $1.39B $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.02B $137.3M $174.3M $156.9M $1.42B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.05B $110.5M $218.5M $218.5M — —

3. ROCK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gibraltar Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ROCK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $40.33 (+5.22% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ROCK ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ROCK compare to SID and NWPX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), ROCK carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, SID (Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.03B) and NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 26.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $944.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROCK?

Per ROCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000912562), Gibraltar Industries Inc. generated $1.14B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), -$44.4M in net income, and $120.6M in free cash flow against $1.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ROCK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROCK last traded at $40.33 (+5.22% on volume of 234,201 shares), positioning the stock -3.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.60) and -6.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.13). Across its 52-week range of $33.56 to $63.59, ROCK sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($36.38 to $44.28).

ROCK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ROCK pay a dividend and is it safe?

Gibraltar Industries Inc. (ROCK) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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