FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #291 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($31.4M FCF) & 14.6% Gross Margin
FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling
While RAIL currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.38) and Max Pain ($4.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.65.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) slipped -0.12% to $4.18, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($3.85 – $14.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
AerCap (AER) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +43.55% and +13.92%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
CHICAGO, Oct. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL), a diversified manufacturer of railroad freight cars, today announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results on Mo
Acquisition strengthens the Company's expanding aftermarket platform and broadens its product portfolio, customer relationships and distribution capabilitiesCHICAGO, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- FreightCar America,
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FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ:RAIL) ("FreightCar America" or the "Company"), a diversified manufacturer and supplier of railroad freight cars, railcar parts and components, today announced that it has
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAIL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) ranks #291 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #365 by equity capitalization ($137.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with RAIL at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAIL
ACTIVE
FreightCar America Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | 14.6% | 27.5% | -0.12% | $137.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | — | +2.13% | $339.2M | /fip-vs-rail → |
| GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc. | B | 73/100 | 5.9x | 18.7% | 24.1% | +2.80% | $1.19B | /gbx-vs-rail → |
| TRN Trinity Industries Inc. | B | 73/100 | 8.1x | — | 58.6% | +10.80% | $2.26B | /trn-vs-rail → |
| RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share | D- | 41/100 | — | 37.1% | -35.0% | -4.53% | $6.5M | /rvsn-vs-rail → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) reported GAAP revenue of $500.7M (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $557.7M , and +40.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $31.4M (-21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAIL closed FY2025 with $290.0M in total assets against $97.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $500.7M | $0 | $34.8M | $31.4M | $290.0M | $97.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $557.7M | $0 | $44.9M | $39.9M | $224.2M | $105.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $356.8M | $0 | $4.8M | $4.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #291 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
RAIL last traded at $4.18 (-0.12% on volume of 250,331 shares), positioning the stock -34.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.38) and -51.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($3.72 to $4.64).
Why RAIL Stock slipped -0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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